Analysis OTP Bank Ltd. (OTPBF)
5/28/2024
Analysis of OTP Bank Ltd. (OTPBF)
Based on the provided data for OTP Bank Ltd. stock (symbol: OTPBF) for the past 10 days:1. **Price Movement**: The closing price has remained constant at 49.42 for all 10 days, indicating stability in the stock price.
2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: The RSI indicator is consistently high at 98.94, suggesting that the stock may be overbought and could potentially see a price correction in the future.
3. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)**: The MACD indicator has been decreasing over the 10 days, with the MACD line moving below the signal line, indicating a potential bearish trend.
4. **Moving Averages (MA)**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have remained constant at 49.42, while the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has shown a slight decrease over the 10 days.
5. **Overall Analysis**: The stock price has remained stable, but the high RSI and decreasing MACD signal a potential reversal in the stock's direction. Traders and investors should closely monitor these indicators for any potential changes in the stock's trend.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating good financial performance. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio, with the company's market capitalization and enterprise value being substantial. The price to book and price to sales ratios are also on the higher side, indicating potential overvaluation.
The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year. Dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics.
Overall, the data provides a comprehensive overview of the company's financial health, stock performance, valuation, and dividend policies.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with the highest in 2020 at $104.9 billion and the lowest in 2021 at $152.8 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight variation but have generally been stable over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with the highest at $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to increase its net income from continuous operations each year.
8. The company has been effectively managing its operating expenses, with a slight increase in selling, general, and administrative expenses over the years.
9. The company has been paying a consistent amount of income tax each year, indicating a stable tax rate.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively constant over the years.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods, with the highest growth expected in the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year.
- The growth rate is projected to increase to 5.6% in the current quarter and further to 4.8% in the next quarter.
- Over the next year, the growth rate is expected to reach 9.7%.
- The company is forecasted to achieve an annual growth rate of 11% over the next 5 years.
- However, the company's growth rate over the past 5 years has been significantly higher at 20.15%.
Overall, the company is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory, with a slight increase in growth rates in the upcoming quarters and years compared to the current period.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, indicating that there may be potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Net income has been relatively stable, with some fluctuations over the years.
8. Depreciation and stock-based compensation are significant non-cash items impacting the cash flow statement.
9. The company has been actively managing its cash flow through various financing and investing activities.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, based on 26 analysts' forecasts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.44 and $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.
3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, compared to $6.13 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $6.43 and $6.92, based on 39 analysts' forecasts.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, compared to $6.59 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $6.40 and $7.90, based on 39 analysts' forecasts.
Overall, it appears that analysts are generally forecasting an increase in earnings per share for the upcoming quarters and years, with some variability in the estimates provided by different analysts.
MACD of OTPBF
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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