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Analysis Oxford Technology 2 Venture Capital Trust plc (OT1)

5/28/2024

Analysis Oxford Technology 2 Venture Capital Trust plc (OT1)

Analysis of Oxford Technology 2 Venture Capital Trust plc (OT1)

Oxford Technology 2 Venture Capital Trust plc (OT1) has been trading at a consistent price of 0.19 for the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is quite low at 9.95, indicating an oversold condition. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows a negative trend, with the MACD line below the signal line and the histogram in negative territory.

Looking at the moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are both showing a downward trend, while the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is also decreasing.

Overall, based on the current indicators, OT1 seems to be in a bearish phase with oversold conditions. Traders and investors may want to exercise caution and wait for a potential reversal or confirmation of a new trend before making any trading decisions.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist of investments, machinery, and other assets, with investments and advances being a significant portion.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with 2018 showing a total of $255,355,000,000.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt, accounts payable, and other current liabilities.
6. Non-current liabilities comprise long-term debt and other non-current liabilities.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown an overall increasing trend, with 2018 recording a total of $107,147,000,000.
8. Common stock and retained earnings are the major components of shareholders' equity.
9. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
10. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%.
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%.
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%.
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%.

2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66.
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742.
- Shares Short: 94,308,265.
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52,903,608.
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62,823,269.
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968.
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%.
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%.
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%.

3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213001.
- Forward PE: 26.213001.
- Trailing PE: 29.428572.
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560.
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.181313.
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.6151557.
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745.
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726.
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672.

4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264.
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.6936.
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.7906.
- 52-Week Low: $164.08.
- 52-Week High: $199.62.
- 52-Week Change: 8.253%.

5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%.
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024.
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020.
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024.
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split.
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1.
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%.
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5266761603816345%.
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97.
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5108758755701854%.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has also shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has been increasing consistently, reflecting the company's profitability and financial health.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
7. The company has been able to manage its tax expenses effectively, as seen in the stable income tax figures over the years.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years, with the numbers generally increasing compared to the previous year's earnings. This indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a slightly higher growth rate expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is projected to experience steady growth in the upcoming quarters and years, indicating a positive outlook according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average price above the current price. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from $164 to $250, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

MACD of OT1

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link