Analysis Pendragon PLC (PDG)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Pendragon PLC (PDG)
Pendragon PLC (PDG) has shown a recent increase in stock price, with the closing price rising from £31.90 to £35.50 over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently indicating oversold conditions, suggesting a potential reversal in the stock's direction.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is negative, indicating a bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram is showing signs of potential convergence, which could signal a shift in momentum.
The stock's Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are both trending upwards, indicating a positive outlook for the stock in the short term.
Overall, while the stock has shown recent strength, investors should closely monitor the RSI and MACD indicators for potential signals of a reversal or continuation of the current trend.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the transfer agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic 🧠
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a healthy balance sheet showing a current ratio slightly above 1. The profit margin and operating margin are also favorable, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as EBITDA, revenue, and net income.
Moving on to stock statistics, key metrics such as short ratio, float shares, and shares outstanding are provided. The percentage held by insiders and institutions, as well as short interest, give insights into ownership and market sentiment.
Valuation metrics show metrics like PEG ratio, PE ratios, and market capitalization, providing an indication of the company's valuation. The enterprise value, price to book, and price to sales ratios offer further insights into the company's financial standing.
The stock price summary includes information on beta, moving averages, and the 52-week range, giving an overview of the stock's performance and volatility.
Lastly, dividends and splits data reveal details about dividend payments, payout ratios, and historical split information, offering insights for investors interested in income generation and corporate actions.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Draw conclusions.Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations over the years.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing heavily in machinery, furniture, and equipment as part of its non-current assets.
9. Retained earnings have been negative in some years, indicating losses or dividend payouts exceeding profits.
10. The company has been maintaining a significant amount of cash and cash equivalents over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payment.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, the company has maintained a healthy cash reserve.
6. Interest paid has increased over the years, which could be a result of higher debt levels or interest rates.
7. Income tax paid has also varied, but it seems to be correlated with the company's profitability.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a significant expense for the company, indicating a reliance on equity-based incentives for employees.
9. The company has been consistent in paying dividends to shareholders, although the amounts have fluctuated.
10. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that have contributed to its financial performance over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS), we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This represents an increase compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago, as forecasted by 27 analysts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is higher than the EPS of $1.35 from the corresponding quarter last year, as projected by 26 analysts.
3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year, according to 40 analysts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $6.10 for the current fiscal year, as forecasted by 40 analysts.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future earnings performance, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual EPS figures over the next few quarters and years.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a steady but slightly slower growth trajectory for the company in the near future.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median estimate of $201.43 and an average estimate of $204.58. However, it's worth noting that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $275. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below both the median and average forecasted prices.
MACD of PDG
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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