Analysis PennyMac Financial Services Inc (PFSI)
6/1/2024
Analysis of PennyMac Financial Services Inc (PFSI)
PennyMac Financial Services Inc (PFSI) has shown some volatility in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the 50 mark, indicating a balanced market sentiment without a clear trend.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been hovering around the zero line, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction. The MACD histogram has been mostly negative, indicating a slight bearish bias.
The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, reflecting a stable price trend without significant divergence.
Overall, based on the indicators, PennyMac Financial Services Inc appears to be in a consolidation phase with no clear directional bias at the moment. Traders and investors may need to wait for a clearer signal before making significant trading decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin is 26.306%.
- Fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin is 30.743%.
- Return on assets TTM is 22.073999% and return on equity TTM is 147.25%.
- Most recent quarter ends on March 31, 2024.
Stock statistics:
- Short ratio is 1.53, float shares are 15,308,320,742, shares short are 99,287,450, average 10-day volume is 46,860,048, average 90-day volume is 57,498,254, shares outstanding are 15,334,099,968, percent held by insiders is 5.22%, percent held by institutions is 57.589%, and short percent of shares outstanding is 0.65%.
Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio is 26.319502, forward PE is 26.319502, trailing PE is 29.59409, enterprise value is $2,950,762,332,160, price to book MRQ is 39.3405, price to sales TTM is 7.646095, enterprise to EBITDA is 22.763, enterprise to revenue is 7.732, and market capitalization is $2,917,925,650,432.
Stock price summary:
- Beta is 1.264, 50-day moving average is $176.2646, 200-day moving average is $181.0429, fifty-two week low is $164.08, fifty-two week high is $199.62, and fifty-two week change is 6.853%.
Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio is 14.93%, dividend date is May 16, 2024, last split date is August 31, 2020, ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024, last split factor is a 4-for-1 split, forward annual dividend rate is $1, 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%, forward annual dividend yield is 0.5255%, trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, and trailing annual dividend yield is 0.5097%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the gross profit has generally followed the trend of increasing sales revenue.
3. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
4. Net income has also shown an increasing trend, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years, with slight fluctuations.
6. The company has effectively managed its operating expenses, allowing for consistent growth in operating income.
7. Non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable, indicating a consistent financial strategy.
8. The company has been able to generate consistent income from its core operations, as seen in the net income from continuous operations.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company has shown positive growth trends, with increasing revenues and net income over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There has been a consistent increase in shareholders' equity, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial health.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuances, with significant variations in amounts each year.
4. Investing activities reflect a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with notable changes in the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has also varied, reaching its peak in 2020 and its lowest point in 2022.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid figures have fluctuated, impacting the company's overall cash flow position.
7. The company has been consistent in paying dividends and managing its cash flow through a combination of financing, investing, and operating activities.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight increase in growth rate expected in the coming years compared to the current and past performance.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it seems that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security paper, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of forecasts, from $164 to $250, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. The current price of $191.57 is below both the average and median forecast, suggesting a potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.
MACD of PFSI
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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