Analysis Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG)
5/28/2024
Analysis of Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG)
Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) has shown relatively stable stock prices over the past few days, with minor fluctuations. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are around 50, indicating a balanced market sentiment without strong overbought or oversold conditions.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator suggests a positive trend, with the MACD line consistently above the signal line and a positive MACD histogram. This indicates potential upward momentum in the stock price.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all relatively close to each other, suggesting a stable trend without significant divergence.
Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages, Penske Automotive Group Inc appears to be in a stable position with potential for a positive price movement in the near future.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and operating margin. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The company has a good return on assets and return on equity. The income statement indicates significant EBITDA, revenue, and net income, with a positive diluted EPS and gross profit. However, there has been a decline in quarterly revenue and earnings growth year over year.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility within a fifty-two week range and provides moving averages for the stock price.
Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio, forward and trailing P/E ratios, and price to book and price to sales ratios. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate ratios for enterprise to EBITDA and enterprise to revenue.
Lastly, the dividends and splits data show information on dividend rates, yields, payout ratio, and historical split dates for the company's stock.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with a peak in 2022 at $170.8 billion and a slight decrease in 2023 to $169.1 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an overall increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been on the rise, with a significant increase from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased from 2020 to 2023.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin over the years, indicating efficient operational performance.
7. Despite fluctuations in certain expenses and income components, the overall financial performance of the company seems to be positive and improving.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years, which could indicate long-term growth strategies.
7. The company has been relying more on long-term debt to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current liabilities.
8. The company has been effectively managing its current assets and liabilities, as seen in the fluctuations of current assets and liabilities over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing over the years, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variations, with changes in common dividends, stock repurchases, and debt issuances.
6. Investing activities also vary, with fluctuations in acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be dynamic, with changes in cash flow components impacting its cash position and financial activities.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in expected earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year's performance. It indicates growth and confidence among analysts in the company's future earnings potential.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company has experienced a higher annual growth rate of approximately 20.1%.
Overall, the company is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory, with a slightly lower growth rate in the short term compared to the long-term projections.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the average and median both indicating a price higher than the current price. The low end of the forecast suggests a potential decrease in price, while the high end indicates a significant increase. It's important to consider these different perspectives when making investment decisions.
MACD of PAG
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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