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Analysis Petra Diamonds Ltd (PDL)

5/29/2024

Analysis Petra Diamonds Ltd (PDL)

Analysis of Petra Diamonds Ltd (PDL)

Petra Diamonds Ltd (PDL) has shown some volatility in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the 50 level, indicating a balanced market sentiment without any clear trend.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been hovering around the zero line, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction. The MACD histogram has been negative, indicating a bearish momentum.

The stock price has been trading below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values, which could signal a bearish trend.

Overall, based on the indicators and moving averages, Petra Diamonds Ltd appears to be in a consolidation phase with no clear trend direction. Traders and investors may need to wait for a clearer signal before making any significant trading decisions.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, which is higher than the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, as provided by 26 analysts.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 from a year ago. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.

3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, an increase from the previous year's EPS of $6.13. The analysts' estimates range from $6.43 to $6.92, with insights from 39 analysts.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range of estimates between $6.40 and $7.90. This forecast is based on the input of 39 analysts.

Overall, the analysts are predicting growth in earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the full fiscal years, indicating positive expectations for the company's performance.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming years.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical performance. However, the company is still projected to experience solid growth over the next few years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating a potential opportunity for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were reported after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The book value per share is $4.837, total cash per share is $4.379, and the total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.

In terms of profitability, the company has a profit margin of 26.31% and an operating margin of 30.74%. The return on assets is 22.07% and the return on equity is 147.25%. The fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023, with the most recent quarter ending on March 31, 2024.

The income statement shows an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, diluted EPS of 6.44, gross profit of $169.15 billion, revenue per share of $24.54, and net income to common of $100.39 billion. The company experienced a quarterly revenue growth of -4.3% and a quarterly earnings growth year-over-year of -2.2%.

In terms of stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 1.53 billion float shares. The average 10-day volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day volume is 62.82 million shares. The stock has a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, trailing PE of 29.43, price to book ratio of 39.18, price to sales ratio of 7.62, enterprise value of $2.95 trillion, enterprise to EBITDA of 22.75, and enterprise to revenue of 7.73.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $173.69, 200-day moving average of $180.79, 52-week low of $164.08, 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 8.25%.

Regarding dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%, while the forward annual dividend yield is 0.53% and the trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%. The dividend date is May 16, 2024, and the ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased from $3.28 in 2020 to $6.16 in 2023.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA increasing from $81 billion in 2020 to $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to grow its net income continuously.
8. The company has been able to control its operating expenses effectively, allowing for growth in operating income.
9. Non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable over the years.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained constant, indicating no significant dilution of shares.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020 and its lowest point in 2022.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include acquisitions, capital expenditures, and the sale/purchase of investments.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, but there are fluctuations that may need further analysis to understand the underlying reasons.

MACD of PDL

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link