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Analysis Petrofac Ltd (PFC)

6/3/2024

Analysis Petrofac Ltd (PFC)

Analysis of Petrofac Ltd (PFC)

Petrofac Ltd (PFC) has shown some volatility in its recent price movements. The stock closed at 559.00 on June 3rd, after reaching a high of 559.50 and a low of 519.95. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54.56, indicating a moderate level of buying momentum.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is at 42.73, with the MACD line above the signal line, suggesting a bullish trend. The MACD histogram is positive at 29.12, further supporting the bullish sentiment.

In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 205.87, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 212.15, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 217.10. The stock price is currently above all three moving averages, indicating a positive trend.

Overall, Petrofac Ltd shows signs of bullish momentum based on the MACD indicator and moving averages. However, investors should continue to monitor the RSI for any potential overbought conditions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, with a good return on assets and return on equity. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 31, 2024.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows a beta value, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past fifty-two weeks.

Valuation metrics indicate a high PEG ratio, forward and trailing P/E ratios, and other key financial ratios such as price to book, price to sales, and enterprise value multiples. The market capitalization is also provided.

Lastly, dividends and splits information includes details on payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend rates, and dividend yields.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with a peak in 2021 at $152.8 billion and a slight decrease in 2023 to $169.1 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been increasing consistently, with a significant rise from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight variation but have generally been stable over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with a slight increase from $81 billion in 2020 to $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to generate strong net income from continuous operations.
8. The company has effectively managed its operating expenses, with a balanced allocation between research and development and selling, general, and administrative expenses.
9. The company's non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable over the years, indicating sound financial management.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained constant, ensuring consistency in earnings per share calculations.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in different areas that may require further analysis.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates show a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 9.7%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.1%

It appears that the company has experienced a higher growth rate in the past compared to the estimates for the future. However, the next year and the next 5 years are expected to show a stronger growth compared to the current year and quarter. It's important to note that these are analyst estimates and actual performance may vary.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $275, and the average at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which falls below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making decisions about buying or selling the security.

MACD of PFC

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link