Analysis PGF Polska Grupa Fotowoltaiczna SA (PGV)
6/1/2024
Analysis of PGF Polska Grupa Fotowoltaiczna SA (PGV)
PGF Polska Grupa Fotowoltaiczna SA (PGV) is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 0.441 and 0.467 PLN over the past few days, indicating some volatility in the stock.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around 40-50, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line has been slightly below the signal line, indicating a potential bearish signal.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all in close proximity to each other and to the closing price, indicating a possible consolidation phase.
3. **Overall Sentiment**: The stock seems to be trading in a range with no clear trend direction. Traders might be waiting for a breakout or a clearer signal from the technical indicators before making any significant moves.
Investors should keep an eye on how the stock behaves in the coming days to identify any potential trend reversals or continuation patterns.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities include significant amounts related to the sale and purchase of investments, with varying levels each year.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, but there are fluctuations in certain areas that may require further analysis.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow TTM of $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow TTM of $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash MRQ of $67.15 billion, total debt MRQ of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio MRQ of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue TTM of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS TTM of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares short. The average 10-day volume is 46.86 million, while the average 90-day volume is 57.50 million. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book MRQ of 39.34 and price to sales TTM of 7.65. The enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.76, and the enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, a 50-day moving average of $176.26, a 200-day moving average of $181.04, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 6.85%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024, and an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable pricing and cost management.
3. Operating income has also shown a positive trend, reflecting efficient operational performance.
4. Net income has been growing, suggesting effective cost control and revenue generation.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have generally been increasing, indicating improved profitability per share.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin over the years.
7. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the stable operating income.
8. The company's tax management seems efficient, as the income tax expenses have been reasonable compared to the net income.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company, in terms of revenue generation and profitability, appears to be positive and improving.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the corresponding quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the prior year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. Again, 25 analysts have contributed to these estimates.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate for total revenue is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales is 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, and analysts expect this growth to continue at a slightly lower but still healthy rate in the coming years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of predictions, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below both the average and median forecasted prices.
MACD of PGV
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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