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Analysis Polenergia SA (PEPP)

6/5/2024

Analysis Polenergia SA (PEPP)

Analysis of Polenergia SA (PEPP)

Based on the provided data for Polenergia SA (symbol: PEPP), we can see that the stock has been exhibiting some volatility in recent days. Here are some key points from the data:

1. Price Movement: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 68.0 and 73.8, indicating some price volatility in the stock.

2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI values have been hovering around 50-60, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. The latest RSI value is 65.45, indicating a slightly overbought condition.

3. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD line has been fluctuating around the signal line, with the MACD histogram showing mixed signals. The latest MACD value is 0.75, which is slightly above the signal line.

4. Moving Averages: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing an upward trend, indicating a bullish sentiment in the short term.

Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages, Polenergia SA's stock seems to be in a slightly bullish phase in the short term. However, investors should closely monitor the price movements and key indicators for any potential changes in the trend.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both favorable, and the company shows good returns on assets and equity. The fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as revenue, EBITDA, and net income.

Stock statistics reveal details about the company's shares, including short interest, trading volumes, and insider and institutional ownership percentages. Valuation metrics show the company's price ratios, enterprise value, and market capitalization.

The stock price summary includes information on beta, moving averages, and the 52-week price range. Dividends and splits data show dividend rates, payout ratios, and historical split information.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with a peak in 2022 at $170.8 billion and a slight decrease in 2023 to $169.1 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been increasing consistently, with a significant rise from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a positive trend, with both basic and diluted EPS increasing over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of outstanding shares, indicating no significant dilution of shares.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to increase its net income from continuous operations over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,755,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $302,083,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company seems to be investing more in non-current assets over the years, which might indicate long-term growth strategies.
7. The increase in total liabilities could indicate increased borrowing or financial obligations.
8. Shareholders' equity has not shown a consistent trend, which might indicate varying profitability or capital structure decisions over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020 and its lowest point in 2022.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. The EPS estimate is also higher than the $1.35 reported in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts project an average EPS of $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast indicates a slight increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts remains at 25.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates has increased to 38.

In the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the upcoming fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
All values are in USD. Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the median and average values suggesting a potential increase from the current price.

MACD of PEPP

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment S.A. at ul. Nowy Swiat 33/13, 00-029 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000895826, share capital in the amount of 201.4 mln PLN, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204