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Analysis Polskie Gornictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo SA (PGN)

5/29/2024

Analysis Polskie Gornictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo SA (PGN)

Analysis of Polskie Gornictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo SA (PGN)

Polskie Gornictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo SA (PGN) closed at 99.339 PLN on March 27, 2023.

Unfortunately, the technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, and Moving Averages are not available for this date, so a comprehensive analysis based on these indicators cannot be provided.

It is important to conduct a more in-depth analysis using additional technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make informed investment decisions regarding Polskie Gornictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo SA.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not supplied. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a relatively low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows the stock's performance over the past year, including its beta, moving averages, and the range between the fifty-two-week low and high.

Valuation metrics reveal the company's price-to-earnings ratios, price-to-book ratio, and other key financial indicators. The enterprise value and market capitalization provide insights into the company's overall value in the market.

Lastly, the dividends and splits information includes details about dividend rates, payout ratios, dividend yield, and historical split dates. This data gives investors an overview of the company's dividend policy and shareholder returns.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in sales from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a general upward trend in sales over the previous years.
- The highest sales figure was recorded in FY 2022.

These trends can provide insights into the company's performance and market conditions over the specified period.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow each year.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial metrics.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This indicates an increase compared to the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous fiscal year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This suggests an increase compared to the EPS of $6.59 from the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years, indicating positive expectations for the company's performance.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates indicate a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a slightly higher growth rate expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The company has shown an average annual growth rate of approximately 20.1% over the past 5 years.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest that the company is expected to experience a gradual decrease in growth rate compared to the past 5 years, but it is still projected to maintain a positive growth trajectory in the upcoming periods.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57

Based on these forecasts, it can be observed that the analysts have a relatively wide range of predictions, with the average price being slightly higher than the current price. The median price of $200 indicates that half of the analysts expect the price to be higher than this value, while the other half expects it to be lower.

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link