Analysis Polymetal International PLC (POLY)
6/2/2024
Analysis of Polymetal International PLC (POLY)
Polymetal International PLC (POLY) has been trading at a price of 2.15 for the past several days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is low at 14.35, indicating that the stock may be oversold. However, it's important to note that the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is not available for analysis, so we cannot assess the momentum of the stock.In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 130.654, which is below the current price. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 144.195, also below the current price. The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 104.48194, indicating a discrepancy between the different moving averages.
Overall, based on the limited information available, it seems that Polymetal International PLC may be in a short-term oversold condition, but further analysis with additional indicators would be needed to make a more comprehensive assessment of the stock's potential future movements.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock has a beta of 1.264, with a 52-week low of $164.08 and a high of $199.62.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The company has an enterprise value of $2.95 trillion, market capitalization of $2.92 trillion, and a price to book ratio of 39.34.
The stock price summary includes a 50-day moving average of $176.26, a 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week change of 6.85%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information reveals a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend yield is 0.53% and the 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in revenue from FY 2020 to FY 2022, followed by a slight decrease in FY 2023.
- Overall, there has been a positive revenue growth trend over the past four years, with fluctuations in between.
These revenue figures provide insights into the company's performance and its ability to generate income from its operations.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements, reflecting a focus on long-term growth.
7. There is a consistent level of short-term debt and accounts payable, with variations in other current liabilities.
8. Retained earnings have fluctuated, possibly due to reinvestment strategies or dividend payments.
9. The company has maintained a balance between debt and equity financing, ensuring stability and growth opportunities.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial metrics over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS), we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. Compared to the EPS of $1.17 from a year ago, there is expected growth.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, analysts predict an average EPS of $6.10, ranging from $5.95 to $6.41. This is an improvement from the EPS of $5.67 reported for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 for the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the upcoming quarters and fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight decrease in growth rate from the past 5 years to the next 5 years. However, the company is still expected to experience steady growth in the upcoming periods according to analyst consensus.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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