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Analysis PONY GROUP INC. (PNYG)

5/27/2024

Analysis PONY GROUP INC. (PNYG)

Analysis of PONY GROUP INC. (PNYG)

Pony Group Inc. (PNYG) has shown consistent price stability around 1.01 over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is low at around 11.47, indicating potential oversold conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is negative but showing signs of stabilization, with the MACD line approaching the signal line.

The Moving Average (MA) indicator is slightly above the current price, suggesting a possible bullish trend. The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all above the current price, indicating a positive outlook for the stock.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Pony Group Inc. may be poised for a potential uptrend in the near future. However, it is essential to consider other factors such as market conditions and company news before making any investment decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 31, 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.

In terms of stock statistics, there is a low short ratio and short percent of shares outstanding, with a significant percentage held by institutions. The stock has a beta of 1.264 and has been trading within a range between its fifty-two-week low and high.

Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio, with the stock being valued at a premium based on price to book and price to sales ratios. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial.

The stock price summary indicates the stock's performance relative to its moving averages and its fifty-two-week range.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics, along with details on past splits.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the given fiscal years:

- 2023: $383,285,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2020: $274,515,000,000

From the data provided, we can observe the following trends:
1. The revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, with a significant jump from 2020 to 2021 and a slight decrease in 2023 compared to 2022.
2. Despite fluctuations, the company has shown overall growth in its top line, indicating a positive trajectory in terms of sales performance.
3. It would be beneficial to further analyze the factors contributing to the revenue changes in each fiscal year to understand the underlying drivers of the company's financial performance.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been generally increasing over the years, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in different areas over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This also indicates growth compared to the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.

3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This demonstrates an increase from the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.

4. Looking ahead to the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This forecast suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.59 from the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook with expected growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth rates expected in the upcoming fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is projected to experience steady growth in the short term, with a more moderate but still healthy growth rate in the long term.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below both the median and average forecasted prices.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally show an increasing trend.
3. Non-current assets have also been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to total assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing over the years.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets like investments and advances, machinery, furniture, and equipment.
7. The company has been relying more on long-term debt to finance its operations.
8. The company has been managing its current liabilities effectively.
9. The company has been retaining earnings and increasing shareholders' equity.
10. The company has been maintaining a healthy cash position and investing in short-term investments.

MACD of PNYG

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link