Analysis Post Holdings Inc (POST)
6/2/2024
Analysis of Post Holdings Inc (POST)
Post Holdings Inc (POST) has shown some volatility in its recent price movements. The stock closed at $104.77, down from the previous day's close of $106.50. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 51, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is slightly negative at -1.06, with the signal line at -0.25. This suggests a bearish trend in the short term. The MACD histogram is also negative at -0.81, indicating a potential decrease in momentum.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at $104.66, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $103.93, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at $104.24. The stock price is currently below the SMA, which could indicate a short-term bearish trend.
Overall, based on the indicators and moving averages, Post Holdings Inc may experience some downward pressure in the near future. Traders and investors should closely monitor the stock for any potential trend reversals.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000
From these numbers, we can observe the following trends:
1. The company has experienced consistent revenue growth from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023.
2. Despite the decrease in 2023, the revenue figures are still higher compared to the initial year, indicating overall growth over the four-year period.
3. It would be beneficial to further analyze the factors contributing to the revenue fluctuations in order to make informed business decisions.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023, with the most recent quarter ending on March 31, 2024.In terms of income statement figures, the company has an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a net income to common of $100.39 billion. The diluted EPS stands at $6.43, with a gross profit of $169.14 billion. The company has experienced a decline in quarterly revenue and earnings growth year over year.
The stock statistics show a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock has an average 10-day volume of 46.86 million and an average 90-day volume of 57.50 million. Institutions hold 57.59% of shares, while insiders hold 5.22%. The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, with a 50-day moving average of $176.26 and a 200-day moving average of $181.04. The 52-week range is between $164.08 and $199.62.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The company's market capitalization is $2.92 trillion, with enterprise to EBITDA ratio of 22.76 and enterprise to revenue ratio of 7.73.
Regarding dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of 1. The ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operations and variability in financing and investing decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a projected sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates has increased to 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the upcoming fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be robust compared to the current year's growth rate.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, indicating that analysts generally expect the price to increase in the future.
MACD of POST
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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