Analysis POVAL KOGYO Co., Ltd. (4247)
6/4/2024
Analysis of POVAL KOGYO Co., Ltd. (4247)
POVAL KOGYO Co., Ltd. (symbol: 4247) is showing some interesting trends based on the recent data:1. Price Movement:
- The stock price has been fluctuating between 1180 and 1238 in the past few days.
- The closing price on the latest available date was 1204, slightly lower than the opening price of 1232.
2. Technical Indicators:
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 41, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a negative value, suggesting a bearish trend.
- The Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) are all above the current closing price, indicating a potential resistance level.
3. Overall, the stock seems to be in a consolidation phase with no clear trend direction. Traders and investors may want to wait for a clearer signal before making any significant trading decisions.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
The stock statistics show details such as short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and the percentage held by insiders and institutions. The company's valuations metrics include PEG ratio, forward and trailing P/E ratios, enterprise value, price to book, price to sales, and market capitalization.
The stock price summary provides information on beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past fifty-two weeks. The dividends and splits data include payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend yields, and dividend rates.
Overall, the data paints a comprehensive picture of the company's financial health, stock performance, valuation, and dividend history.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, ranging from 38% to 44% over the same period.
3. Despite the increase in sales, the net income has not shown a consistent upward trend, with fluctuations in the range of $57.4 billion to $99.8 billion.
4. The company has been able to maintain a strong EBITDA margin, hovering around 33% to 36%.
5. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have also shown fluctuations, with the basic EPS ranging from $3.28 to $6.16 over the four-year period.
6. Operating expenses, including research and development and selling, general, and administrative expenses, have increased in line with the growth in sales.
7. The company has managed its non-operating interests and expenses effectively, with fluctuations in the range of $2.8 billion to $3.9 billion.
8. Overall, the company has shown resilience in its revenue generation and operational efficiency despite fluctuations in net income.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuuance.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but generally, the company has maintained a healthy cash reserve.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been paying dividends consistently, with varying amounts each year.
9. The company has engaged in acquisitions and divestitures, impacting the investing cash flow.
10. Overall, the company's financial performance seems stable, with some fluctuations in key financial indicators.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter last year.
3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.
4. Looking ahead to the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 from the current year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth in both quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 9.7%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.1%
It appears that the company has experienced a higher growth rate in the past compared to the estimates for the future. However, the next year and the next 5 years are expected to show a stronger growth compared to the current period. It's important to note that these are analyst estimates and actual performance may vary.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end being $164, the high end being $275, and the average forecast at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
MACD of 4247
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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