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Analysis PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG)

6/3/2024

Analysis PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG)

Analysis of PROG Holdings, Inc. (PRG)

PROG Holdings, Inc. is showing a positive trend based on the recent data. The RSI indicator is above 50, indicating bullish momentum. The MACD indicator is also positive, with the MACD line above the signal line and the MACD histogram showing an upward trend.

The closing prices have been increasing over the past few days, reaching $37.79 on the latest trading day. The stock has been trading above the moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA), which also indicates a bullish trend.

Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages, PROG Holdings, Inc. seems to be in an uptrend with potential for further price appreciation. However, it's important to consider other factors and conduct a more in-depth analysis before making any investment decisions.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable pricing and cost management.
3. Operating income has also shown a positive trend, reflecting efficient operational performance.
4. Net income has been growing, suggesting effective cost control and revenue generation.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have generally increased, indicating growth in profitability on a per-share basis.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, showing strong operational performance.
7. Despite fluctuations in some expenses and income components, the overall financial performance seems to be improving over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,755,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $302,083,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been taking on more debt over the years, as indicated by the increasing trend in total liabilities.
8. Shareholders' equity has not been growing at the same pace as total assets, indicating a potential decrease in ownership value over the years.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal year ends: September 30, 2023
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin: 30.743%
- Most recent quarter: March 31, 2024
- Return on assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on equity TTM: 147.25%

Stock statistics:
- Short ratio: 1.53
- Float shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares short: 99,287,450
- Average 10-day volume: 46,860,048
- Average 90-day volume: 57,498,254
- Shares outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent held by insiders: 5.22%
- Percent held by institutions: 57.589%
- Short percent of shares outstanding: 0.65%

Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio: 26.319502
- Forward PE: 26.319502
- Trailing PE: 29.59409
- Enterprise value: $2,950,762,332,160
- Price to book MRQ: 39.3405
- Price to sales TTM: 7.646095
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.763
- Enterprise to revenue: 7.732
- Market capitalization: $2,917,925,650,432

Stock price summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-day moving average: $176.2646
- 200-day moving average: $181.0429
- 52-week low: $164.08
- 52-week high: $199.62
- 52-week change: 6.853%

Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend date: May 16, 2024
- Last split date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-dividend date: May 10, 2024
- Last split factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward annual dividend rate: $1
- 5-year average dividend yield: 0.73%
- Forward annual dividend yield: 0.5255%
- Trailing annual dividend rate: $0.97
- Trailing annual dividend yield: 0.5097%

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount paid in 2021.
4. The end cash position has also varied, reaching its peak in 2020 and its lowest point in 2022.
5. Financing activities have had a major impact on the cash flow, with significant amounts being used for common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities show a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow impact each year.

These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flow over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS), we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This represents an increase from the EPS of $1.17 reported a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. Comparing this to the EPS of $1.35 from a year ago, there is a projected growth.

3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This shows an improvement from the EPS of $5.67 reported in the previous year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts project an average EPS of $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, showing a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate to strong sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, indicating positive expectations for the company's performance in the near future.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a steady but slightly slower growth trajectory in the future.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $275, and the average forecast at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that the analysts are generally predicting an increase in the price of the security in the future.

MACD of PRG

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link