Analysis of Progenity Inc (PROG)
Progenity Inc (PROG) has shown some volatility in its stock price over the past few days. The RSI indicator has been fluctuating around the 40-45 range, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.
The MACD indicator has been slightly negative, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a potential bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram has been fluctuating around the zero line, indicating some indecision in the market.
In terms of moving averages, the stock price has been below the SMA, EMA, and WMA, indicating a bearish trend in the short term.
Overall, Progenity Inc seems to be facing some selling pressure based on the technical indicators. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the stock for any potential trend reversal or further downside movement.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.
In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock outstanding is 15.33 billion shares, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.76 and enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range from $164.08 to $199.62.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:
1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 9.7%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.1%
It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a higher growth rate in the future compared to the past, with a significant increase projected for the next year. The next 5 years also show a positive growth trend according to analyst estimates.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:
1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the gross profit has generally followed the trend of increasing sales revenue.
3. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
4. Net income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years, with slight fluctuations but no significant downward trends.
6. The company has managed its operating expenses effectively, with operating income generally increasing along with sales revenue.
7. Despite variations in other income and expenses, the company has been able to generate consistent net income from its continuous operations.
8. The company has been able to effectively manage its tax expenses, with income tax payments increasing in line with growing revenue.
9. The number of outstanding shares has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating no significant dilution of ownership.
10. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by its revenue figures, shows a positive growth trajectory and effective management of expenses and taxes.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:
1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162.8 billion and the lowest in 2018 at $131.3 billion.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, reaching $217.4 billion in 2023 from $175.7 billion in 2019.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, from $248 billion in 2019 to $290.4 billion in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2023 at $62.1 billion.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been financing its operations through a mix of liabilities and shareholders' equity, with both showing an increasing trend over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:
1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:
1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous fiscal year.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.MACD of PROG