Analysis of Publicis Groupe S.A. (0FQI)
Publicis Groupe S.A. is a French multinational advertising and public relations company. Looking at the recent data, we can see that the stock price has been fluctuating around the $105-$107 range. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, hovering around the mid-range.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is showing a slight decrease in momentum, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line. However, the MACD histogram is close to zero, indicating a possible reversal in the near future.
Overall, the stock seems to be consolidating within a range, with no clear trend in either direction. Traders and investors may want to wait for a clearer signal before making any significant trading decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:
1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, which is higher than the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, as provided by 26 analysts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 from the previous year. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.
3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, an increase from the previous year's EPS of $6.13. The analysts' estimates range from $6.43 to $6.92, with insights from 39 analysts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range of estimates between $6.40 and $7.90. This forecast is based on the input of 39 analysts.
Overall, the analysts are predicting growth in earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years, indicating positive expectations for the company's performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:
1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a slightly higher growth rate expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to have a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is expected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher CAGR of approximately 20.1%.
Overall, the company is expected to experience steady growth in the upcoming periods, with a slightly higher growth rate in the next 5 years compared to the current and previous periods.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, as of April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.
1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%.
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023.
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%.
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%.
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%.
2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66.
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742.
- Shares Short: 94,308,265.
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52,903,608.
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62,823,269.
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968.
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%.
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%.
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%.
3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213001.
- Forward PE: 26.213001.
- Trailing PE: 29.428572.
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560.
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.181313.
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.6151557.
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745.
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726.
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672.
4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264.
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.6936.
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.7906.
- 52-Week Low: $164.08.
- 52-Week High: $199.62.
- 52-Week Change: 8.253%.
5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%.
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024.
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020.
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024.
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split.
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1.
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%.
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5266761603816345%.
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97.
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5108758755701854%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:
1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with a peak in 2022 at $170.8 billion and a slight decrease in 2023 to $169.1 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been increasing consistently, with a significant rise from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a positive trend, with both basic and diluted EPS increasing over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of outstanding shares, indicating no significant dilution of shares.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenues has been positive, showing growth in sales, income, and profitability over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:
1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,755,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $302,083,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There is a need to monitor and manage current liabilities effectively to ensure financial stability.
8. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, indicating profitability and reinvestment in the business.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:
1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
4. Investing activities reflect significant transactions related to the sale and purchase of investments, with a notable decrease in 2020.
5. The end cash position has varied over the years, reaching its peak in 2020.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid have also fluctuated, with the highest values in 2023.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a consistent part of operating activities, contributing to employee incentives.
8. The company has been managing its cash flow strategically, balancing investments, financing, and operational needs.MACD of 0FQI