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Analysis Quantum-Si incorporated (QSI)

5/27/2024

Analysis Quantum-Si incorporated (QSI)

Analysis of Quantum-Si incorporated (QSI)

Quantum-Si Incorporated (QSI) has been showing some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the recent days:

1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between $1.62 and $1.77 over the past few days, with some volatility in the range. The closing prices have been relatively stable, indicating a potential consolidation phase.

2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: The RSI values have been hovering around 40-50, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market. This suggests that the stock may not be overbought or oversold at the moment.

3. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)**: The MACD line has been close to the signal line, with the histogram showing mixed signals. This could imply a potential change in momentum in the near future.

4. **Moving Averages (MA)**: The stock price has been trading below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values. This could indicate a short-term bearish trend.

Overall, Quantum-Si Incorporated seems to be in a consolidation phase with neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the price movements and key technical indicators for potential trading opportunities.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operations and variability in financing and investing decisions.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and operating margin. The balance sheet shows a current ratio slightly above 1, indicating good liquidity, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The company has a solid return on assets and return on equity.

Stock statistics reveal details about the stock's trading volume, short interest, shares outstanding, and insider and institutional ownership percentages. The stock has a low short ratio and short percent of shares outstanding.

Valuation metrics show the company's price-to-earnings ratios, price-to-book ratio, price-to-sales ratio, and enterprise value multiples. The market capitalization is also provided.

The stock price summary includes information on the stock's beta, moving averages, and 52-week high and low prices.

Lastly, dividends and splits data show the company's dividend history, payout ratio, dividend yield, and upcoming dividend dates. The company has a history of dividend payments and stock splits.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, showing a healthy growth trajectory.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years, indicating improved profitability.
7. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of outstanding shares, which is important for shareholders' equity.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and shows a growth trend.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Number of Analysts: 26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Number of Analysts: 25
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years. It indicates growth in earnings compared to the previous year.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a slightly higher growth rate expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
6. Past 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the short term (current and next quarter) compared to the longer term (current year, next year, and next 5 years). The past 5 years have seen a significantly higher growth rate compared to the future estimates, indicating a potential slowdown in growth or a change in market conditions.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

MACD of QSI

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link