Analysis Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO)
6/2/2024
Analysis of Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO)
Radico Khaitan Limited is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 1576.05005 and 1722.30005 over the past few days, indicating some volatility in the stock.
2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: The RSI values have been hovering around 35 to 54, suggesting that the stock is neither oversold nor overbought. This indicates a balanced market sentiment.
3. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)**: The MACD indicator has been negative, with the MACD line consistently below the signal line. This could indicate a bearish trend in the stock price.
4. **Moving Averages (MA)**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing a downward trend, which aligns with the bearish sentiment indicated by the MACD.
5. **Overall Sentiment**: The stock seems to be in a consolidation phase with a slightly bearish bias based on the MACD and moving averages. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the RSI for any potential reversal signals.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and market trends can change rapidly. It is always recommended to conduct further research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate price-to-sales and enterprise-to-EBITDA ratios.
The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics. The company has a regular dividend payment schedule and has undergone a stock split in the past.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential challenge in managing production or procurement costs.
3. The gross profit margin seems to be relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
4. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, indicating improved profitability.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased, with diluted EPS ranging from 3.28 to 6.16 over the years.
7. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of outstanding shares, which is important for investors to assess the dilution of their ownership.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and accounts receivable, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations over the years.
3. Non-current assets consist of investments, machinery, furniture, and equipment, which have been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with a significant rise from 2022 to 2023.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt, accounts payable, and other current liabilities.
6. Non-current liabilities comprise long-term debt and other non-current liabilities.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with retained earnings playing a significant role.
8. The company seems to be investing more in non-current assets over the years, possibly for long-term growth and sustainability.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities have a significant impact on the company's cash position, with large amounts being used for common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
4. Investing activities show a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow impact each year.
5. Interest paid and income tax paid have also varied over the years, affecting the company's overall cash flow position.
6. The end cash position has fluctuated, but generally, the company has maintained a healthy cash reserve over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales is 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's total revenues in the upcoming quarters and years, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%
It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth rate in the next year compared to the current year. However, the growth rate is expected to slow down in the next quarter compared to the current and past 5-year average growth rates. The company has shown a high growth rate in the past 5 years, but the consensus estimates suggest a more moderate growth rate for the next 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $275, and the average forecast at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that analysts, on average, expect the price to increase in the future.
MACD of RADICO
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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