Analysis Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL)
5/27/2024
Analysis of Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL)
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL) has shown a strong uptrend in the recent days, with the price reaching a high of 399.70001 on 2024-05-27. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating overbought conditions at 83.13461, suggesting a possible reversal or correction in the near future.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is showing a bullish trend with the MACD line above the signal line and a positive MACD histogram. This indicates that the bullish momentum is strong and likely to continue.
The Moving Average (MA) indicator is also trending upwards, with the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) all showing an increasing trend.
Overall, RVNL seems to be in a strong bullish trend, but traders should be cautious of a possible correction due to the overbought RSI levels. It would be advisable to wait for a confirmation of a reversal before making any trading decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company has a good return on assets and return on equity.
In terms of stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has a beta of 1.264 and has been trading within a range over the past 52 weeks.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial. The price to book ratio and price to sales ratio are also on the higher side.
The stock price summary includes moving averages, 52-week high and low prices, and the percentage change over the past year.
Lastly, the company has a dividend payment history with details on payout ratio, dividend dates, and dividend yields. The company also had a stock split in the past.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with the highest in 2020 at $104.9 billion and the lowest in 2021 at $152.8 billion.
3. Operating income has also been varying, with the highest in 2020 at $66.3 billion and the lowest in 2021 at $108.9 billion.
4. Net income has shown an increasing trend, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable, with slight fluctuations over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive, with growth in sales and net income.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash and cash equivalents.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an overall positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in non-current assets, such as leases, land, and improvements, to support its operations.
7. There is a consistent level of short-term debt and accounts payable in the current liabilities.
8. Retained earnings have fluctuated over the years, impacting the shareholders' equity.
9. The company has been managing its non-current liabilities, including long-term debt and provisions, to maintain a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous fiscal year.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This suggests an increase from the EPS of $6.59 reported for the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth in both the quarterly and annual periods.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. The current year growth rate is estimated to be 7.5%.
2. The next quarter growth rate is projected to be 4.8%.
3. The current quarter growth rate is expected to be 5.6%.
4. The next year growth rate is forecasted to be 9.7%.
5. The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is estimated to be 11%.
6. The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years was approximately 20.1%.
These estimates suggest that the company is expected to experience moderate growth in the near term, with a slightly higher growth rate projected for the next year. However, the long-term outlook indicates a more robust growth trend compared to the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the average and median forecast, indicating that some analysts may expect the price to increase in the future.
MACD of RVNL
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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