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Analysis Ramchandra Leasing and Finance Limited (RLFL)

6/3/2024

Analysis Ramchandra Leasing and Finance Limited (RLFL)

Analysis of Ramchandra Leasing and Finance Limited (RLFL)

Ramchandra Leasing and Finance Limited (RLFL) has been showing some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the recent days:

1. Price Movement:
- The stock price has been fluctuating between 0.80000 and 1.10000 in the past few days.
- The price closed at 1.07000 on the most recent trading day (2024-05-31), showing some stability after a period of volatility.

2. Technical Indicators:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI indicator has been fluctuating between 30.51 and 72.66, indicating some volatility in the stock's price movements.
- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD indicator has been positive, with the MACD line above the signal line, suggesting a bullish trend.
- Moving Averages (MA): The stock price has been above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), indicating a positive trend.

3. Overall Analysis:
- The stock has shown some volatility in the past few days but seems to be stabilizing around the 1.07000 price level.
- The technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, with the MACD and moving averages showing positive signals.
- Investors may want to keep an eye on the stock's price movements and monitor the technical indicators for potential trading opportunities.

Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and technical indicators, and it's essential to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.

Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate price-to-sales and enterprise-to-EBITDA ratios.

The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics. The company has a regular dividend payout and has undergone a stock split in the past.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate increases to $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate for total sales is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.

In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate further increases to $380,772,000,000, with a significant growth rate of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in the upcoming quarters and years, with a slightly increasing number of analysts providing forecasts.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.

2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is slightly higher at 5.2%.

3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is estimated to be 7.6%.

4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is expected to increase to 9.7%.

5. Past 5 Years (per annum): Over the past 5 years, the company has experienced an average annual growth rate of 20.1%.

6. Next 5 Years (per annum): Looking ahead, analysts project an average annual growth rate of 9.7% for the next 5 years.

These estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's growth, with a gradual increase in the growth rate from the current period to the next year. However, the projected growth rates for the next quarter and next year are lower compared to the average growth rate over the past 5 years.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
All values are in USD. Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average above the current price. However, there is a wide range between the low and high forecasts, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable pricing and cost management.
3. Operating income has also shown a positive trend, reflecting efficient operational performance.
4. Net income has been growing, suggesting effective cost control and revenue generation.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have generally increased, indicating growth in profitability on a per-share basis.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, showing strong operational efficiency.
7. Despite fluctuations in non-operating interest income and expenses, the overall financial performance seems robust.
8. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively stable over the years.
9. The company's continuous operations have been profitable, with net income from these operations showing a positive trend.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162.8 billion and the lowest in 2023 at $135.4 billion.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, reaching $217.4 billion in 2023.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, from $255.4 billion in 2018 to $290.4 billion in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a fluctuating pattern, with the highest value in 2018 at $107.1 billion and the lowest in 2022 at $50.7 billion.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities over the years, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current liabilities.
7. The company's investments and advances have been increasing steadily, indicating a growth strategy.
8. Accumulated depreciation has been consistently high, affecting the value of non-current assets.
9. The company has been maintaining a significant amount of cash and cash equivalents over the years.
10. The provision for risks and charges has also been increasing, indicating a proactive approach to risk management.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
4. Investing activities include significant amounts related to the sale and purchase of investments, with varying levels of capital expenditures.
5. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid have varied over the years, impacting the company's cash flow position.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a consistent part of operating activities, affecting the overall cash flow.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a potential growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 for the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share in both the short term and the long term.

MACD of RLFL

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link