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Analysis Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF)

6/3/2024

Analysis Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF)

Analysis of Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF)

Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF) has shown some fluctuations in its stock price over the past few days.

On May 31, the stock closed at $122.75, with an RSI indicator of 44.35, indicating a neutral position. The MACD indicator was negative at -0.49, suggesting a bearish trend. The Moving Average (MA) indicator was at $124.53, slightly above the closing price.

On May 30, the stock closed at $121.89, with a lower RSI indicator of 40.78, indicating a slightly oversold condition. The MACD indicator was negative at -0.42, also showing a bearish trend.

Overall, the stock has been trading below its moving averages, and the MACD indicator has been negative, indicating a bearish sentiment in the short term. Traders and investors may want to monitor the stock closely for any potential trend reversals or further bearish movements.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, the following conclusions can be drawn:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting a moderate growth in sales for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, with the highest growth rate expected for the fiscal year 2025.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as EBITDA, revenue, and net income.

Moving on to stock statistics, key metrics include short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and percentages held by insiders and institutions. The company's stock price summary provides information on beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.

Valuation metrics show ratios such as PEG ratio, PE ratios, price to book, price to sales, and enterprise value multiples. The market capitalization is also provided.

Lastly, dividends and splits data include payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend yields, and dividend rates. The company has a history of dividends and splits, with both forward and trailing dividend yields mentioned.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, from $66.3 billion in 2020 to $114.3 billion in 2023.
4. Net income has been growing steadily, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA ranging from $81 billion to $129 billion.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has been able to generate consistent net income from continuous operations.
8. The company has managed its operating expenses effectively, with a slight increase in research and development and selling, general, and administrative expenses over the years.
9. The company has been able to generate interest income, which has contributed positively to its non-operating income.
10. Overall, the financial performance of the company has shown positive growth trends in terms of revenue, income, and profitability over the years.

Balance Sheet

This is a balance sheet. Here are the conclusions:

1. Total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years, which might indicate long-term growth strategies.
7. The company has been relying more on long-term debt to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current liabilities.
8. The company has been effectively managing its current assets and liabilities, as the current ratio seems to be stable over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
5. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, capital expenditures, and other investing activities.
6. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
7. The company has been paying dividends to common shareholders and engaging in stock-based compensation.
8. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that impact its financial health and liquidity position.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS is projected to be $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts forecast an average EPS of $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

MACD of RJF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link