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Analysis Real Good Food plc (RGD)

6/2/2024

Analysis Real Good Food plc (RGD)

Analysis of Real Good Food plc (RGD)

Real Good Food plc (RGD) has been trading at a consistent price of 0.01450 over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is quite low at 9.35, indicating that the stock may be oversold.

Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, we see that the MACD line is below the signal line, with a negative value of -0.15791. However, the MACD histogram is showing a slight increase, which could indicate a potential reversal in the near future.

In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is equal to the price at 0.01450, while the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are significantly higher at 0.24130 and 0.02376 respectively. This suggests that the stock has been experiencing some volatility in its price movement.

Overall, based on the RSI and MACD indicators, as well as the moving averages, it seems that Real Good Food plc may be in a consolidation phase with potential for a reversal in the near future. However, further analysis and monitoring of the stock's price movement would be recommended to confirm any potential trends.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both favorable, and the company shows good returns on assets and equity. The fiscal year ends in September 2023, with the most recent quarter ending in March 2024. The company has seen a decline in quarterly revenue and earnings growth year over year.

In terms of stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has a beta of 1.264 and has shown a slight increase in the fifty-two week period.

Valuation metrics show a high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the stock trading at a relatively high forward and trailing PE ratio. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other valuation metrics indicate the company's size and value in the market.

The stock price summary shows the moving averages, fifty-two week high and low, and the change in the stock price over the past year.

Lastly, the dividends and splits information includes details about dividend rates, payout ratios, dividend dates, and historical stock splits for the company.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company are as follows:

1. **Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):**
- Average Estimate: $77,545,400,000
- Low Estimate: $75,869,000,000
- High Estimate: $79,035,500,000
- Sales Growth: 2%
- Year Ago Sales: $75,725,200,000
- Number of Analysts: 25

2. **Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):**
- Average Estimate: $85,501,800,000
- Low Estimate: $81,634,900,000
- High Estimate: $91,144,800,000
- Sales Growth: 3%
- Year Ago Sales: $82,854,600,000
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. **Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):**
- Average Estimate: $357,772,000,000
- Low Estimate: $350,189,000,000
- High Estimate: $364,505,000,000
- Sales Growth: 1%
- Year Ago Sales: $354,834,000,000
- Number of Analysts: 38

4. **Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):**
- Average Estimate: $380,772,000,000
- Low Estimate: $353,721,000,000
- High Estimate: $403,636,000,000
- Sales Growth: 6%
- Year Ago Sales: $357,772,000,000
- Number of Analysts: 38

**Key Takeaways:**
- The company is expected to experience steady sales growth in both the short term and long term.
- Analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future performance, with estimates showing consistent growth.
- The number of analysts providing estimates is relatively stable across the different time periods, indicating continued interest in the company's financial outlook.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be positive.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the average and median both indicating a price higher than the current price. The low end of the forecast suggests a potential decrease in price, while the high end indicates a significant increase. It's important to consider these different perspectives when making investment decisions.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been growing consistently, with the company reporting a net income of $57.4 billion in 2020 and $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years, indicating improved profitability per share.
6. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the stable or decreasing trend in expenses relative to revenue growth.
7. The company's non-operating interest income has been positive, contributing to its overall income.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS is projected to be $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts forecast an average EPS of $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

MACD of RGD

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link