Analysis Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWTRP)
5/25/2024
Analysis of Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWTRP)
Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWTRP) is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating over the past few days, with the closing price ranging from $23.72 to $25.03. This indicates some volatility in the stock.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating between 25.05 and 63.58, indicating some oscillation in the stock's price momentum.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values have been positive, with the MACD line consistently above the signal line. This suggests a bullish trend in the stock.
3. **Moving Averages**:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values have been relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend in the stock price.
4. **Overall Analysis**:
- The stock seems to be in an upward trend based on the MACD indicator and moving averages.
- The RSI values suggest that the stock may have been oversold at some points, leading to potential buying opportunities.
- Investors should keep an eye on the stock's price movements and monitor key support and resistance levels for potential trading opportunities.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and does not guarantee future performance. It's always recommended to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This indicates an increase compared to the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This suggests an increase compared to the EPS of $6.59 from the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods, with the highest growth expected in the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
6. Past 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the short term compared to the long-term average. It indicates that the company has been experiencing significant growth in the past but analysts expect a more moderate growth rate in the near future.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the current price is below both the median and average forecasted prices. The analysts' opinions vary, with a wide range between the low and high estimates. The median forecast of $200 suggests a moderate increase from the current price.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day volume is 62.82 million shares. The stock has a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward P/E of 26.21, and trailing P/E of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price-to-book ratio of 39.18 and price-to-sales ratio of 7.62. The stock has an enterprise-to-EBITDA ratio of 22.75 and enterprise-to-revenue ratio of 7.73.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $173.69, and 200-day moving average of $180.79. The stock's 52-week low is $164.08, high is $199.62, and the change over the past 52 weeks is 8.25%.
Lastly, in terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of $1. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73% and the trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%. The dividend date is May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The last split date was August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a general trend of increasing revenue over the years.
- The largest increase in revenue was seen between FY 2020 and FY 2021.
These trends in revenue can provide insights into the company's performance and market conditions over the specified fiscal years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing over the years, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial metrics over the years.
MACD of RWTRP
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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