Analysis Rent the Runway, Inc. (RENT)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Rent the Runway, Inc. (RENT)
Rent the Runway, Inc. is showing some interesting trends based on the recent data:1. **Price Movement**: The price of RENT stock has been fluctuating between $22.66 and $36.40 over the past few days, with the most recent closing price at $24.00. This indicates some volatility in the stock.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 53.10, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line is above the signal line, but the histogram is negative, indicating a potential bearish signal.
- **Moving Averages**: The stock price is currently below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), which could indicate a bearish trend.
3. **Overall Sentiment**: The RSI and MACD indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the short term. The moving averages also indicate a bearish trend.
Investors should closely monitor the stock price movement and these technical indicators to make informed decisions about buying or selling RENT stock.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.23
- Low Estimate: $1.18
- High Estimate: $1.26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.17
- Number of Analysts: 27
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.42
- Low Estimate: $1.33
- High Estimate: $1.51
- Year Ago EPS: $1.35
- Number of Analysts: 26
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.10
- Low Estimate: $5.95
- High Estimate: $6.41
- Year Ago EPS: $5.67
- Number of Analysts: 40
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $6.69
- Low Estimate: $5.92
- High Estimate: $7.31
- Year Ago EPS: $6.10
- Number of Analysts: 40
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years, with an increase compared to the previous year's EPS. It is also notable that the number of analysts providing estimates is relatively high, indicating a broad consensus in the projections.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It is important to note that these are analyst estimates and actual performance may vary.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion and total debt of $104.59 billion, resulting in a current ratio of 1.037. The company's book value per share is $4.837, total cash per share is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.In terms of profitability, the company has a profit margin of 26.31% and an operating margin of 30.74%. The return on assets is 22.07% and the return on equity is 147.25%. The fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023, with the most recent quarter ending on March 31, 2024.
From the income statement, we see that the company has an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and net income to common of $100.39 billion. The diluted EPS is $6.43, gross profit is $169.14 billion, revenue per share is $24.54, and there has been a decline in quarterly revenue and earnings growth year over year.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock has an average 10-day volume of 46.86 million and an average 90-day volume of 57.50 million. Institutions hold 57.59% of shares, while insiders hold 5.22% and the short interest as a percentage of shares outstanding is 0.65%.
In terms of valuation metrics, the company has a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 22.76 and enterprise value to revenue ratio is 7.73, with a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion.
The stock price summary shows a beta of 1.26, with a 50-day moving average of $176.26 and a 200-day moving average of $181.04. The 52-week low is $164.08, the 52-week high is $199.62, and the change in the past 52 weeks is 6.85%.
Lastly, in terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of $1, with a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The dividend yield is 0.53% and the 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%. The dividend date is May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The last split date was August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000
From these numbers, we can observe the following trends:
1. There was a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023.
2. The company experienced significant growth in revenue between 2020 and 2022, indicating positive performance.
3. Despite the slight dip in revenue in 2023, the overall trend shows a healthy revenue stream for the company.
These insights suggest that the company has been successful in generating revenue over the past four years, with a notable growth trajectory from 2020 to 2022.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist of leases, land, machinery, and investments, showing a steady growth.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but generally follows an increasing trend.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. The company has been investing in non-current assets, indicating a focus on long-term growth.
8. Retained earnings have been positive, contributing to the shareholders' equity.
9. The company has been maintaining a healthy balance between assets, liabilities, and equity over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in amounts.
6. Investing activities reflect a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be dynamic, with changes in cash flow driven by operational, financing, and investing activities.
MACD of RENT
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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