Analysis Roche Holding AG (0TDF)
5/28/2024
Analysis of Roche Holding AG (0TDF)
Based on the provided data for the stock symbol 0TDF, which represents Roche Holding AG, here is a short analysis:1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices for Roche Holding AG have been fluctuating between 30.49 and 33.03 over the past 10 days.
- The stock closed at 31.58 on the most recent trading day, showing some stability in the price.
2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the 50 level, indicating a neutral stance in the stock's momentum.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has been positive, suggesting a bullish momentum in the stock.
3. Moving Averages:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend in the stock price.
4. Overall:
- Roche Holding AG seems to be trading in a range-bound pattern with no clear trend in the short term.
- The technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment.
- Investors may need to monitor the stock for a clearer trend direction before making any significant trading decisions.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided historical data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still projected to be positive.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, as of April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion and total debt of $104.59 billion, resulting in a current ratio of 1.037. The company has a book value per share of $4.837 and total cash per share of $4.379, with a total debt to equity ratio of 140.968.In terms of profitability, the company has a profit margin of 26.31% and an operating margin of 30.74%. The return on assets is 22.07% and the return on equity is 147.25%. The company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023, with the most recent quarter ending on March 31, 2024.
In terms of income, the company has an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a net income to common of $100.39 billion. The diluted EPS is $6.44 and the revenue per share is $24.54. The company has experienced a negative quarterly revenue growth of -4.3% and a negative quarterly earnings growth year over year of -2.2%.
The stock statistics show a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.56% held by institutions. The short percent of shares outstanding is 0.62%.
In terms of valuation metrics, the company has a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, and trailing PE of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.18, price to sales ratio of 7.62, enterprise to EBITDA ratio of 22.75, and enterprise to revenue ratio of 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.91 trillion.
The stock price summary shows a beta of 1.264, with a 50-day moving average of $173.69 and a 200-day moving average of $180.79. The fifty-two week low is $164.08, the fifty-two week high is $199.62, and the change in the fifty-two week range is 8.25%.
In terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of $1, with a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%. The dividend date is May 16, 2024, and the ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be relatively stable, with fluctuations in cost of goods sold affecting the overall profitability.
3. Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) have also shown an increasing trend, indicating improved operational efficiency.
4. Net income has been growing consistently, reflecting the company's ability to manage costs and generate profits.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a positive trend, indicating that the company's profitability is being distributed effectively among shareholders.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy balance between operating expenses and income, leading to sustained profitability.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by its revenues, profitability, and operational efficiency, appears to be on a positive trajectory.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, peaking at $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, with the highest value in 2018 at $255,355,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has generally increased, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years.
7. There has been a decrease in retained earnings in some years, indicating possible dividend payments or losses.
8. The company has been relying more on long-term debt to finance its operations.
9. The cash and cash equivalents have fluctuated over the years, possibly due to investment decisions or cash management strategies.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. The company has been utilizing stock-based compensation as part of its operating activities.
8. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key metrics over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, based on 26 analysts' forecasts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, lower than the $1.46 reported a year ago. The EPS estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, with input from 25 analysts.
3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, up from $6.13 in the previous year. The EPS estimates for the year range from $6.43 to $6.92, based on forecasts from 39 analysts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, slightly higher than the $6.59 reported for the previous year. The EPS estimates for the upcoming year range from $6.40 to $7.90, with input from 39 analysts.
Overall, the analysts are generally forecasting an increase in earnings per share for both the current and next fiscal years, with some fluctuations expected in the quarterly results.
MACD of 0TDF
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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