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Analysis Royal Mail Plc (ROYMF)

5/29/2024

Analysis Royal Mail Plc (ROYMF)

Analysis of Royal Mail Plc (ROYMF)

Royal Mail Plc (ROYMF) has been showing some interesting price movements recently.

On the technical side, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 59.41, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is positive at 0.05915, with the MACD line above the signal line, suggesting a bullish trend.

In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) stands at 2.95280, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 3.02451, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) at 2.98314. The stock price is currently trading above all these moving averages, indicating a positive short-term trend.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Royal Mail Plc seems to be in a bullish phase. However, it's important to consider other factors such as market conditions, news, and fundamental analysis before making any investment decisions.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is higher at $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This also indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, ranging from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This suggests a potential increase from the EPS of $6.59 from the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook with expected growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next year.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11%.
- However, in the past 5 years, the company had a higher CAGR of approximately 20.1%.

Overall, the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, with a slightly higher growth rate projected for the next 5 years compared to the current and upcoming quarters.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows a beta value, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.

Valuation metrics reveal the company's price-to-earnings ratios, enterprise value, price-to-book ratio, price-to-sales ratio, and market capitalization.

Lastly, dividends and splits information includes payout ratios, dividend dates, split dates, dividend yields, and dividend rates.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe that the company experienced a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, reaching its peak in 2022. However, there was a slight decrease in revenue in 2023 compared to 2022. This trend indicates a period of growth followed by a slight decline in revenue for the company.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, peaking at $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, with the highest value in 2018 at $255,355,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has generally increased, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets and has been able to maintain a healthy level of shareholders' equity over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

MACD of ROYMF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link