Analysis Runway Growth Finance Corp. - 7.50% Notes due 2027 (RWAYL)
5/27/2024
Analysis of Runway Growth Finance Corp. - 7.50% Notes due 2027 (RWAYL)
Runway Growth Finance Corp. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data for the RWAYL symbol. Here is a short analysis:1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices for Runway Growth Finance Corp. have been relatively stable around the mid $24 range over the past few days. This stability could indicate a consolidation phase in the stock.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the mid-40s range, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has been negative, suggesting a bearish momentum in the stock.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all converging around the mid $25 range, indicating a potential support level.
3. **Overall Sentiment**: The RSI values and MACD histogram suggest a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the short term. However, the moving averages convergence could indicate a potential support level for the stock price.
4. **Trading Recommendation**: Based on the current indicators, it might be prudent to observe the stock's price movement for further confirmation before making any trading decisions. Traders could consider waiting for a clearer trend to emerge before taking a position.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and indicators, and actual market conditions may vary. It's always recommended to conduct thorough research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 15.31 billion float shares and 94.31 million shares shorted. The average 10-day volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day volume is 62.82 million shares. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.55% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, and trailing PE of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.18 and price to sales ratio of 7.62. The enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.75 and the enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.91 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, a 50-day moving average of $173.69, a 200-day moving average of $180.79, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 8.25%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the gross profit has generally followed the trend of increasing sales revenue.
3. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
4. Net income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
5. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the consistent growth in operating income.
6. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes, indicating a responsible approach to tax obligations.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as reflected in its revenues, shows a positive growth trajectory over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, with a significant portion in machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt, accounts payable, and other current liabilities.
6. Non-current liabilities comprise long-term debt and other non-current liabilities.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with the highest value of $90,488,000,000 in 2019.
8. Common stock and retained earnings are the major components of shareholders' equity.
9. The accumulated depreciation of non-current assets has been consistently negative, indicating ongoing depreciation of assets.
10. The provision for risks and charges is a significant component of non-current liabilities, indicating potential future financial obligations.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include acquisitions, capital expenditures, and the sale/purchase of investments.
7. The company has been utilizing stock-based compensation as part of its operations.
8. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that have contributed to its financial position over the years.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Number of Analysts: 26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Number of Analysts: 25
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive outlook with an increase in earnings per share expected for both the current and next fiscal years. The average estimates show growth compared to the previous year's earnings per share, indicating potential improvement in the company's financial performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. The current year growth rate is estimated to be 7.5%.
2. The next quarter growth rate is projected to be 4.8%.
3. The current quarter growth rate is expected to be 5.6%.
4. The next year growth rate is forecasted to be 9.7%.
5. The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is estimated to be 11%.
6. The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years was approximately 20.15%.
These estimates suggest that the company is expected to experience moderate growth in the short term, with a slightly higher growth rate projected for the next year. However, the company's growth rate is expected to accelerate over the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.MACD of RWAYL
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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