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Analysis Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. (7453)

5/31/2024

Analysis Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. (7453)

Analysis of Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. (7453)

Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd., also known as MUJI, is a Japanese retail company known for its minimalist and high-quality products. Looking at the recent financial data provided, we can see that the stock symbol 7453 has been experiencing some fluctuations in its stock price.

- The closing prices have been varying between 2384.00000 and 2529.00000 over the past few days.
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator has been fluctuating around 40 to 60, indicating a moderate level of price momentum.
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has shown some positive values, suggesting a potential bullish trend.
- The Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) have been relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend in the stock price.

Overall, based on the provided data, it seems that Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. is experiencing some volatility in its stock price, but there are signs of potential bullish momentum. Investors may want to keep an eye on the RSI and MACD indicators for further confirmation of the trend before making any investment decisions.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates show an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company's sales performance, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual sales figures over the coming quarters and years.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience solid growth both in the short term and over the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating a potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 31, 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows a beta value, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.

Valuation metrics indicate a high PEG ratio and price-to-earnings ratios, along with other valuation multiples. The market capitalization and enterprise value are also provided.

Lastly, dividends and splits information includes details about dividend rates, payout ratios, dividend dates, and historical split information for the company.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the gross profit has generally followed the trend of increasing sales revenue.
3. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
4. Net income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years, with slight fluctuations but no significant downward trends.
6. The company has managed its operating expenses effectively, with operating income showing a positive trend.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by revenue figures, has been positive and shows a growth trajectory.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, with a significant portion in machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with retained earnings being a significant component.
6. The company has been utilizing short-term debt and accounts payable for its operations.
7. There is a consistent provision for risks and charges in the non-current liabilities.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
9. Accumulated depreciation is a significant factor affecting the value of non-current assets.
10. Overall, the company's financial position seems stable, with a focus on investments and managing liabilities.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been consistently positive, indicating that the company's core business operations are generating cash.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount paid in 2021.
4. The company has been consistently paying interest on its debts, with varying amounts each year.
5. The company has been repurchasing common stock and paying dividends, indicating a return of value to shareholders.
6. The company has been issuing and paying off long-term debt, with varying amounts each year.
7. The company has been involved in investing activities such as acquisitions, capital expenditures, and the sale/purchase of investments.
8. The end cash position has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2020 and the lowest in 2022.

These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flow over the years.

MACD of 7453

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link