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Analysis Saizeriya Co.,Ltd. (7581)

6/5/2024

Analysis Saizeriya Co.,Ltd. (7581)

Analysis of Saizeriya Co.,Ltd. (7581)

Saizeriya Co., Ltd. is a company that operates a chain of Italian family-style restaurants in Japan. Looking at the recent financial data provided, we can see that the stock price has been fluctuating within a certain range.

- The RSI indicator, which measures the momentum of the stock price, has been hovering around 40-50, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.
- The MACD indicator shows a negative trend, with the MACD line below the signal line and the MACD histogram in negative territory. This suggests a bearish signal for the stock.
- The Moving Average (MA) indicator, Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing a downward trend, indicating a decrease in the average stock price over the given period.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Saizeriya Co., Ltd. seems to be facing some downward pressure in the stock price. Investors may want to closely monitor the stock for any potential changes in the trend before making any investment decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released After Hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provides detailed information about the financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits of a company.

1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Most Recent Quarter: March 31, 2024
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%

2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.53
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 99,287,450
- Avg 10 Volume: 46,860,048
- Avg 90 Volume: 57,498,254
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.589%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.65%

3. Valuations Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.319502
- Forward PE: 26.319502
- Trailing PE: 29.59409
- Enterprise Value: $2,950,762,332,160
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.3405
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.646095
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.763
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.732
- Market Capitalization: $2,917,925,650,432

4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- Day 50 MA: $176.2646
- Day 200 MA: $181.0429
- Fifty-Two Week Low: $164.08
- Fifty-Two Week High: $199.62
- Fifty-Two Week Change: 6.853%

5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5255%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5097%

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential decrease in profit margins.
3. The company's gross profit has fluctuated but generally increased from $105 billion in 2020 to $169.1 billion in 2023.
4. Operating income has shown a similar trend to gross profit, increasing from $66.3 billion in 2020 to $114.3 billion in 2023.
5. Net income has also been on the rise, growing from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares, which is important for investors.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and income has been positive and improving over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the data provided:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. The current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations over the years.
3. Non-current assets consist of leases, land, machinery, and investments, with investments and advances being a significant portion of the assets.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt, accounts payable, and other current liabilities, with accounts payable being a significant portion.
6. Non-current liabilities consist of long-term debt and other non-current liabilities, with long-term debt forming a major part of the liabilities.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown variations over the years, with the highest value of $90,488,000,000 in 2019.
8. Common stock and retained earnings are the major components of shareholders' equity.
9. The company has been investing in machinery, equipment, and other non-current assets to support its operations and growth.
10. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts to maintain a balance between assets and liabilities.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount in 2021.
4. The end cash position has also varied, reaching its peak in 2020 and its lowest point in 2022.
5. Financing activities have had a major impact on the cash flow, with significant amounts being used for common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities show a mix of acquisitions, capital expenditures, and investments, with varying levels of cash flow impact each year.

Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects fluctuations in free cash flow, stable operating cash flow, and significant activities in financing and investing that have influenced the company's cash position over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate to strong sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, with the highest growth expected in the next fiscal year ending in September 2025.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 9.7%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.1%

It appears that the company has experienced a higher growth rate in the past compared to the estimates for the future. However, the next year and the next 5 years still show positive growth projections, albeit at a lower rate than the past 5 years. It's important for investors to consider these growth estimates along with other factors when making investment decisions.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $275, and the average at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the average and median forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making decisions about buying or selling the security.

MACD of 7581

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link