Analysis of Saratoga Investment Corp 6.00% (SAT)
Saratoga Investment Corp (SAT) has been showing relatively stable price movements in the past few days, with the closing prices hovering around $24. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values indicate that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, staying around the neutral zone.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator suggests a slightly bearish sentiment, with the MACD line below the signal line. However, the MACD histogram is quite close to the zero line, indicating a possible reversal in the near future.
Overall, the stock seems to be consolidating around the $24 price level, with no significant bullish or bearish signals at the moment. Traders and investors may want to monitor the MACD indicator for potential trend changes in the coming days.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.
In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a healthy balance sheet showing a current ratio slightly above 1. The profit margin and operating margin are also favorable, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and key income statement figures such as revenue, EBITDA, and net income are provided.
Moving on to stock statistics, details such as short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and insider/institutional holdings are included. The stock price summary highlights key metrics like beta, moving averages, and the 52-week price range.
Valuation metrics show metrics like P/E ratios, price to book, price to sales, and enterprise value multiples. The market capitalization is also provided.
Lastly, dividends and splits information includes payout ratio, dividend dates, dividend yields, and details about past stock splits.
Overall, the data paints a comprehensive picture of the company's financial health, stock performance, valuation, and dividend history.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:
1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming quarters and years.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:
1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still projected to be positive.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the current price is below both the average and median predicted prices. The analysts' opinions vary, with a wide range between the low and high estimates. The median and average prices suggest a potential increase in the future price of the security.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:
1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, the company had been experiencing a steady increase in revenue over the past three fiscal years.
- The revenue growth rate from FY 2020 to FY 2021 was significant compared to the other years.
These trends in revenue can provide insights into the company's performance and market conditions over the specified fiscal years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:
1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
9. There is a consistent provision for risks and charges in the liabilities section.
10. Overall, the company's financial health seems stable and improving over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:
1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2021.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:
1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.MACD of SAT