Analysis Saratoga Investment Corp 8.125% Notes due 2027 (SAY)
5/26/2024
Analysis of Saratoga Investment Corp 8.125% Notes due 2027 (SAY)
Based on the provided data for Saratoga Investment Corp (SAY) and focusing on the 1-day interval, here is a short analysis for Saratoga Investment Corp 8.125% Notes due 2027:1. **Price Movement**: The closing price for SAY on the most recent day was $25.20. The stock has been relatively stable, with minor fluctuations in the price over the past few days.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently around 49.62, indicating a neutral position. It suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line is slightly below the signal line, with a negative value of -0.04698. This could indicate a potential bearish signal.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at $25.24, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $25.21, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at $25.22. These averages can be used to identify support and resistance levels.
3. **Overall Analysis**:
- The stock price has been relatively stable, with minor fluctuations.
- The technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment.
- Investors may consider monitoring the support and resistance levels indicated by the moving averages for potential trading opportunities.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and technical indicators, and it's essential to conduct thorough research and consider other factors before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company. Here is a summary of the key information:1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow (TTM) is $110.56 billion, and levered free cash flow (TTM) is $84.73 billion.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash (MRQ) is $67.15 billion, total debt (MRQ) is $104.59 billion, current ratio (MRQ) is 1.037, book value per share (MRQ) is $4.837, total cash per share (MRQ) is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio (MRQ) is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.31%
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131.39 billion, revenue (TTM) is $381.62 billion, diluted EPS (TTM) is $6.44, gross profit (TTM) is $169.15 billion, revenue per share (TTM) is $24.537, net income to common (TTM) is $100.39 billion, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.74%
- Return on Assets (TTM): 22.07%
- Return on Equity (TTM): 147.25%
2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66
- Float Shares: 15.31 billion
- Shares Short: 94.31 million
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52.90 million
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62.82 million
- Shares Outstanding: 15.33 billion
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.55%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%
3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.21
- Forward P/E: 26.21
- Trailing P/E: 29.43
- Enterprise Value: $2.95 trillion
- Price to Book (MRQ): 39.18
- Price to Sales (TTM): 7.62
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.75
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.73
- Market Capitalization: $2.91 trillion
4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.69
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.79
- 52-Week Low: $164.08
- 52-Week High: $199.62
- 52-Week Change: 8.25%
5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.53%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.51%
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable pricing and cost management.
3. Despite fluctuations in net income, there is an overall positive trend in profitability.
4. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown some variability but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
5. Operating income and EBITDA have also been increasing, reflecting operational efficiency and growth.
6. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the stable EBIT margins.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company appears to be strong and improving over time.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and accounts receivable, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations over the years.
3. Non-current assets consist of investments, machinery, furniture, and equipment, which have been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt, accounts payable, and deferred revenue, showing variations over the years.
6. Non-current liabilities consist of long-term debt and other non-current liabilities, which have been on the rise.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally increased over the years, with the highest value of $107,147,000,000 in 2018.
These conclusions provide an overview of the financial position and performance of the company over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This represents an increase from the EPS of $1.26 reported a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This is higher than the EPS of $1.46 reported a year ago.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This shows growth from the EPS of $6.13 reported in the previous year.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This is an increase from the EPS of $6.59 reported in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the future compared to the past performance. It indicates a healthy growth trajectory for the company in the coming years, albeit at a slightly slower pace than in the past.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.MACD of SAY
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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