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Analysis Securitas A B (SCTBF)

6/1/2024

Analysis Securitas A B (SCTBF)

Analysis of Securitas A B (SCTBF)

Securitas AB (SCTBF) has been showing a consistent uptrend in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating overbought conditions with a value of 80.20, suggesting that the stock may be due for a correction.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive, with the MACD line above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum. However, the MACD histogram is showing a slight decrease, which could signal a potential reversal in the short term.

In terms of moving averages, the stock price is currently below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), indicating a bearish sentiment.

Overall, while the stock has been on an uptrend, the overbought RSI and potential reversal indicated by the MACD histogram suggest that investors should exercise caution and closely monitor the stock for any signs of a trend reversal.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe that the company experienced a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, reaching its peak in 2022. However, there was a slight decrease in revenue in 2023 compared to 2022. This trend indicates a period of growth followed by a slight decline in revenue for the company.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, peaking at $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value in 2018 at $255,355,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has generally increased, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years.
7. There is a fluctuating trend in current assets, possibly due to changes in short-term investments and receivables.
8. The company has been relying more on long-term debt to finance its operations.
9. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, indicating profitability and reinvestment in the business.
10. Overall, the company's financial position seems stable, with a focus on long-term growth and investment.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided. The previous results on February 27, 2025, were handled by the transfer agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were reported after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provides a comprehensive overview of the financial and stock-related metrics for a company. Here are some key points from the data:

1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $110,563,000,320.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash on a quarterly basis is $67,150,000,128, total debt is $104,590,000,128, and the current ratio is 1.037.
- Profit Margin: The profit margin is 26.306%.
- Income Statement: Revenue for the TTM is $381,623,009,280, with a net income to common of $100,389,003,264.
- Operating Margin: The operating margin is 30.743%.
- Return on Assets (TTM): 22.073999%.
- Return on Equity (TTM): 147.25%.

2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.53.
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968.
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742.
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%.
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.589%.
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.65%.

3. Valuations Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.319502.
- Forward PE: 26.319502.
- Trailing PE: 29.59409.
- Market Capitalization: $2,917,925,650,432.

4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264.
- 50-Day Moving Average: $176.2646.
- 200-Day Moving Average: $181.0429.
- 52-Week Low: $164.08.
- 52-Week High: $199.62.
- 52-Week Change: 6.853%.

5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%.
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1.
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5255%.
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%.
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020 (4-for-1 split).
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024.
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024.
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97.
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5097%.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant changes each year, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial metrics.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous fiscal year.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a steady but slightly slower growth trajectory in the future.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, suggesting that there may be potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of SCTBF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link