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Analysis Sekisui Kasei Co., Ltd. (4228)

6/3/2024

Analysis Sekisui Kasei Co., Ltd. (4228)

Analysis of Sekisui Kasei Co., Ltd. (4228)

Sekisui Kasei Co., Ltd. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data. Here are some key points from the analysis:

1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 446 and 460, with some volatility in the recent days. The stock seems to be trading in a range-bound pattern.

2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are hovering around 40-50, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line is below the signal line, suggesting a bearish signal. However, the MACD histogram is showing signs of stabilization.

3. **Moving Averages**:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing a downward trend, indicating a bearish sentiment in the short term.

4. **Overall Sentiment**: The stock seems to be under some selling pressure as indicated by the moving averages and MACD indicator. However, the RSI values suggest a neutral sentiment. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the price levels and key support/resistance areas for potential trading opportunities.

Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and trends can change quickly in the stock market. It is always recommended to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, key figures such as cash flow, balance sheet details, profit margin, income statement metrics, operating margin, return on assets, and return on equity are provided.

Stock statistics include information on short ratio, float shares, shares short, average trading volumes, shares outstanding, percentage held by insiders and institutions, and short percent of shares outstanding.

Valuation metrics cover PEG ratio, forward and trailing P/E ratios, enterprise value, price to book, price to sales, enterprise to EBITDA, enterprise to revenue, and market capitalization.

Stock price summary includes beta, 50-day and 200-day moving averages, fifty-two week low and high prices, and the percentage change over the fifty-two week period.

Lastly, dividends and splits data includes payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend rates, and dividend yields.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has increased from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, indicating improved profitability.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
6. The company has been able to effectively manage its operating expenses, keeping them in check relative to the growth in revenue.
7. The effective tax rate has remained relatively stable, indicating consistent tax planning strategies.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company has been positive, with growth in revenue, income, and profitability metrics.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations over the years.
7. There is a need to closely monitor current liabilities, which have been fluctuating.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth potential in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate to strong sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, with the highest growth expected in the next fiscal year ending in September 2025.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company has had a higher growth rate of around 20.1% per annum.

Overall, it appears that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, with a slightly higher growth rate in the future compared to the current period.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $275, and the average at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.

MACD of 4228

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link