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Analysis Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN)

6/2/2024

Analysis Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN)

Analysis of Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN)

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN) has shown a consistent uptrend in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been indicating overbought conditions, with values above 70, suggesting a potential reversal or correction in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been positive, indicating bullish momentum. The MACD histogram has been increasing, showing a strengthening bullish trend.

The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have all been trending upwards, supporting the bullish sentiment in the stock.

Overall, SHEN seems to be in a strong bullish trend, but traders should be cautious of potential overbought conditions and consider waiting for a pullback before entering a long position.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.23
- Low Estimate: $1.18
- High Estimate: $1.26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.17
- Number of Analysts: 27

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.42
- Low Estimate: $1.33
- High Estimate: $1.51
- Year Ago EPS: $1.35
- Number of Analysts: 26

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.10
- Low Estimate: $5.95
- High Estimate: $6.41
- Year Ago EPS: $5.67
- Number of Analysts: 40

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $6.69
- Low Estimate: $5.92
- High Estimate: $7.31
- Year Ago EPS: $6.10
- Number of Analysts: 40

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share both quarterly and annually, with the numbers forecasted to increase compared to the previous year. This indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a more substantial increase expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is slightly higher at 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is estimated to be 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is expected to increase to 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): Over the past 5 years, the company has shown a growth rate of approximately 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): Looking ahead, analysts project a growth rate of around 9.7% per annum for the next 5 years.

These estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company, with a gradual increase in growth rates expected in the upcoming periods compared to the current and past performance.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

Main Statystic 🧠

The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion and total debt of $104.59 billion, resulting in a current ratio of 1.037. The company has a book value per share of $4.837 and total cash per share of $4.379, with a total debt to equity ratio of 140.968.

In terms of profitability, the company has a profit margin of 26.31% and an operating margin of 30.74%. The return on assets is 22.07% and the return on equity is 147.25%. The income statement shows an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a net income to common of $100.39 billion. The diluted EPS is $6.43 and the revenue per share is $24.54. The company experienced a negative quarterly revenue growth of -4.3% and a negative quarterly earnings growth year-over-year of -2.2%.

The stock statistics reveal a short ratio of 1.53 and a short percent of shares outstanding of 0.65%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion and a PEG ratio of 26.32. The forward P/E ratio is 26.32 and the trailing P/E ratio is 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and a price to sales ratio of 7.65. The enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.76 and the enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73.

In terms of stock price summary, the beta is 1.264 and the 52-week range is between $164.08 and $199.62, with a 52-week change of 6.85%. The 50-day moving average is $176.26 and the 200-day moving average is $181.04.

Regarding dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of 1. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73% and the trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%. The dividend date is set for May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split.

Income statement 💸

These are revenue figures. Here are the conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.

2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating that the company's gross profit margin may be under pressure.

3. The company's EBITDA has also been increasing, reaching $129.2 billion in 2023, which suggests that the company's operational efficiency and profitability have improved.

4. Net income has been growing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, indicating that the company is effectively managing its expenses and taxes.

5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years, with slight fluctuations, indicating that the company's share count has remained relatively constant.

6. The company has been able to generate positive EBIT and EBITDA each year, indicating that its core operations are profitable.

7. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be strong, with increasing revenues and profits over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations over the years.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing heavily in machinery, furniture, and equipment as seen in the non-current assets section.
9. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, indicating profitability and reinvestment in the business.
10. The company has been managing its cash and cash equivalents effectively, as seen in the current assets section.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant variations each year.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures, with significant changes in values each year.

These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance, cash management, and investment strategies over the years.

MACD of SHEN

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link