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Analysis Shinki Bus Co.,Ltd. (9083)

5/30/2024

Analysis Shinki Bus Co.,Ltd. (9083)

Analysis of Shinki Bus Co.,Ltd. (9083)

Shinki Bus Co., Ltd. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:

1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 3415 and 3440, with occasional spikes and drops. This indicates some volatility in the stock.

2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are hovering around 45 to 54, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has been positive, suggesting a potential bullish momentum.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend.

3. **Overall Analysis**:
- The stock seems to be trading in a range-bound pattern with some bullish momentum indicated by the MACD histogram.
- The RSI values suggest that the stock is not overbought or oversold, but rather in a neutral position.
- Moving averages are clustered together, indicating a stable trend without any significant divergence.

In conclusion, Shinki Bus Co., Ltd. appears to be in a stable position with some bullish momentum based on the MACD indicator. Traders and investors may want to monitor the stock for potential breakout opportunities within the current price range.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a fluctuation between the fifty-two-week low and high.

Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the company being relatively expensive based on its forward and trailing P/E ratios. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other ratios indicate the company's valuation in the market.

Lastly, dividends and splits information show the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and upcoming dividend dates. The company has a consistent dividend yield and has undergone a stock split in the past.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the given fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From the data provided, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from 2022 to 2023.
- There was a significant increase in revenue from 2020 to 2021, followed by a slight decrease in 2022.
- Overall, there has been a general upward trend in revenue over the years, with fluctuations in between.

These revenue figures provide insights into the company's performance and growth over the specified fiscal years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and accounts receivable, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations over the years.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, which have been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt and accounts payable, showing variations over the years.
6. Non-current liabilities, such as long-term debt, have been on the rise.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally increased over the years, with the highest value of $107,147,000,000 in 2018.
8. The company has been investing in machinery, furniture, and equipment, as well as in leases and land improvements.
9. Accumulated depreciation has been increasing, indicating the aging of assets.
10. The company has been making provisions for risks and charges, which have also increased over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities include significant amounts related to the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.59 from the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook with expected growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an average annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company has actually achieved a higher average annual growth rate of approximately 20.1%.

Overall, it appears that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, with a slightly lower growth rate in the short term compared to the past performance, but a higher growth rate projected for the next 5 years.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that some analysts may expect the price to increase in the future.

MACD of 9083

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link