Analysis of Shinpo Co., Ltd. (5903)
Shinpo Co., Ltd. (symbol: 5903) has been showing some interesting trends in the recent trading days. Here are some key points from the data:
1. Price Movement: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 1214 and 1416, with the most recent closing price at 1404. There seems to be some volatility in the stock's price.
2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating between 17.80 and 51.91, indicating some level of volatility and potential for price reversals.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values have been negative, indicating a bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram has shown some signs of improvement in the recent days.
3. Moving Averages:
- Simple Moving Average (SMA): The SMA values have been relatively stable around 1400, indicating a neutral trend.
- Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The EMA values have been slightly decreasing, suggesting a bearish sentiment.
- Weighted Moving Average (WMA): The WMA values have also been decreasing, aligning with the bearish sentiment indicated by the EMA.
Overall, Shinpo Co., Ltd. seems to be experiencing some volatility in its stock price, with technical indicators pointing towards a bearish trend. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the price movements and key technical indicators for potential trading opportunities.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.
In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin, operating margin, return on assets, and return on equity are all at healthy levels. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has a beta of 1.264 and has shown a change between the fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio, forward and trailing P/E ratios, and price to book and price to sales ratios. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are also provided.
The stock price summary includes moving averages, fifty-two-week low and high prices, and the percentage change over the fifty-two-week period.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows details about dividend rates, payout ratios, dividend dates, and historical split information for the company.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:
1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating efficient cost management.
3. The net income has also been increasing, showing that the company is profitable and growing.
4. The earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years.
5. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin.
6. Operating income and EBIT have shown an upward trend, reflecting operational efficiency.
7. The company has been able to effectively manage its operating expenses.
8. The non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be strong and improving.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:
1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates show an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:
1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an average annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company has actually achieved a higher average annual growth rate of approximately 20.1%.
Overall, the company is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory, with a slightly lower growth rate in the short term compared to the long-term average.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is below both the average and median forecast, suggesting that there may be potential for growth according to analysts.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:
1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate slightly from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2023 at $73,812,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its growth, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been financing its operations through a mix of equity and liabilities, with a significant portion of liabilities in the capital structure.
8. Retained earnings have been negative in some years, indicating that the company has incurred losses in those periods.
9. The company has been investing in machinery, furniture, and equipment as part of its non-current assets, which indicates a focus on operational capabilities and capacity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:
1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with a decreasing trend from 2020 to 2023.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020 and its lowest point in 2022.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities reflect significant investments in the sale and purchase of investments, with fluctuations in capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of strategies to manage cash flow, invest in growth, and return value to shareholders.MACD of 5903