Analysis Shinwa Co., Ltd. (3447)
5/28/2024
Analysis of Shinwa Co., Ltd. (3447)
Shinwa Co., Ltd. (symbol: 3447) has been showing some fluctuations in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around 45-50, indicating a neutral market sentiment. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been negative but showing signs of improvement, with the MACD histogram moving towards positive territory.The stock has been trading around the 740-742 range, with some volatility in the past few days. The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) have been close to the actual stock price, suggesting a stable trend.
Overall, Shinwa Co., Ltd. seems to be in a consolidation phase, with potential for a bullish breakout if the positive momentum in the MACD indicator continues. Traders and investors may want to keep an eye on further price movements and key technical indicators for potential trading opportunities.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a fluctuation between the fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics indicate a high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio, with the company being relatively overvalued based on price to book and price to sales ratios. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial.
Lastly, dividends and splits information show a moderate payout ratio, with details on dividend dates, split history, and dividend yields.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in sales from FY 2020 to FY 2022, with a slight decrease in FY 2023.
- Overall, there has been a positive trend in revenue over the past four years, indicating growth in the company's top line.
- It would be beneficial to analyze the reasons behind the fluctuations in revenue from year to year to understand the factors driving the company's sales performance.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
5. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
6. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been paying dividends to common shareholders, with varying amounts each year.
These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flow over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, with 26 analysts providing forecasts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, lower than the $1.46 reported a year ago. The EPS estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, with 25 analysts contributing to the estimates.
3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, up from $6.13 in the previous year. The EPS estimates for the full year range from $6.43 to $6.92, with 39 analysts providing forecasts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, higher than the $6.59 reported for the previous year. The EPS estimates for the upcoming year range from $6.40 to $7.90, with 39 analysts contributing to the estimates.
Overall, the analysts are generally forecasting an increase in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the full fiscal years, indicating positive growth expectations for the company.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience solid growth over the next few years according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, there is a wide range of predictions, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below both the average and median forecasted prices.
MACD of 3447
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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