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Analysis SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)

6/1/2024

Analysis SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)

Analysis of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)

SMC Global Securities Limited is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:

1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating between 155.1 and 166.1 over the past few days, indicating some volatility in the stock.

2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are hovering around 50, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line is above the signal line, indicating a potential bullish trend. However, the MACD histogram is negative, suggesting a possible reversal or consolidation.

3. **Moving Averages**:
- The stock price is currently above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), indicating a positive short-term trend.

4. **Overall Sentiment**:
- The stock seems to be consolidating after a recent uptrend, with mixed signals from technical indicators. Traders may want to wait for clearer signals before making trading decisions.

Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis before making any investment decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at this time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin is 26.306%.
- Fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin is 30.743%.
- Most recent quarter is March 31, 2024.
- Return on assets TTM is 22.073999% and return on equity TTM is 147.25%.

Stock statistics:
- Short ratio is 1.53.
- Float shares are 15,308,320,742.
- Shares short are 99,287,450.
- Average 10-day volume is 46,860,048.
- Average 90-day volume is 57,498,254.
- Shares outstanding are 15,334,099,968.
- Percent held by insiders is 5.22% and percent held by institutions is 57.589%.
- Short percent of shares outstanding is 0.65%.

Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio is 26.319502.
- Forward PE is 26.319502.
- Trailing PE is 29.59409.
- Enterprise value is $2,950,762,332,160.
- Price to book MRQ is 39.3405.
- Price to sales TTM is 7.646095.
- Enterprise to EBITDA is 22.763.
- Enterprise to revenue is 7.732.
- Market capitalization is $2,917,925,650,432.

Stock price summary:
- Beta is 1.264.
- 50-day moving average is $176.2646.
- 200-day moving average is $181.0429.
- Fifty-two week low is $164.08.
- Fifty-two week high is $199.62.
- Fifty-two week change is 6.853%.

Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio is 14.93%.
- Dividend date is May 16, 2024.
- Last split date is August 31, 2020.
- Ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024.
- Last split factor is a 4-for-1 split.
- Forward annual dividend rate is $1.
- 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%.
- Forward annual dividend yield is 0.5255%.
- Trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97.
- Trailing annual dividend yield is 0.5097%.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the revenue trend shows consistent growth.
3. The company has managed to increase its top line, indicating successful sales strategies and market positioning.
4. It is essential for the company to sustain this revenue growth to ensure long-term financial stability and profitability.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations over the years.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, indicating profitability and reinvestment in the business.
9. The company has been maintaining a healthy amount of cash and cash equivalents over the years.
10. The company's investments and advances have been increasing, indicating potential growth strategies.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuuance.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but generally, the company has maintained a healthy cash reserve.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been paying dividends consistently, with varying amounts each year.
9. The company has engaged in acquisitions and divestitures, impacting the investing cash flow.
10. Overall, the company's financial performance seems stable, with some fluctuations in key financial indicators.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low of $5.95 to a high of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is slightly higher at 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is estimated to be 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is expected to increase to 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): Over the past 5 years, the company has shown a growth rate of approximately 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): Looking ahead, analysts project a growth rate of around 9.7% per annum for the next 5 years.

Overall, the company is expected to experience a moderate growth rate in the near term, with a slightly higher growth rate anticipated for the next year. However, this growth rate is lower compared to the impressive growth rate the company has achieved over the past 5 years.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating a potential opportunity for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of SMCGLOBAL

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link