Analysis Smith Micro Software Inc (SMSI)
5/28/2024
Analysis of Smith Micro Software Inc (SMSI)
Smith Micro Software Inc (SMSI) has been showing some volatility in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the 50 mark, indicating a balanced market sentiment without a clear trend.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been positive, with the MACD line consistently above the signal line. This suggests that there may be some upward momentum in the stock price.
The Moving Average (MA) indicator has been slightly above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values, indicating a potential bullish trend.
Overall, while the stock price has been fluctuating, the MACD indicator and MA indicator suggest a potential bullish sentiment in the near term. However, investors should closely monitor the RSI values for any signs of a trend reversal.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Number of Analysts: 26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Number of Analysts: 25
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. It indicates growth in earnings compared to the previous year, with higher average estimates for the next quarter and next year.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years. However, the company is still projected to maintain a healthy growth rate in both the short and long term.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day trading volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day trading volume is 62.82 million shares. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.56% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE ratio of 26.21, and trailing PE ratio of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.18 and price to sales ratio of 7.62. The enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.75 and the enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.91 trillion.
In terms of stock price summary, the company has a beta of 1.26, with a 50-day moving average of $173.69 and a 200-day moving average of $180.79. The 52-week low and high prices are $164.08 and $199.62 respectively, with a 52-week change of 8.25%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information show a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the gross profit has generally followed the trend of increasing sales revenue.
3. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
4. Net income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
5. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the consistent growth of operating income.
6. Diluted EPS has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent profitability per share.
7. The company has been able to generate positive non-operating interest income, contributing to its overall profitability.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by its revenue figures, shows a positive growth trajectory over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
8. Provision for risks and charges has been relatively stable over the years.
9. Common stock and retained earnings are major components of shareholders' equity.
10. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements consistently.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant cash outflows, mainly due to common stock repurchases and dividend payments.
6. Investing activities have also seen significant cash flows, with the sale and purchase of investments impacting the overall cash position.
7. The company has been managing its debt through issuances and payments, with varying amounts each year.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a consistent part of the company's operating activities.
9. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, investing, and financing activities that have influenced its cash position over the years.
MACD of SMSI
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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