Analysis SOUTHERN FINL CORP (SFCO)
5/29/2024
Analysis of SOUTHERN FINL CORP (SFCO)
Southern Financial Corporation (SFCO) has been showing a consistent downward trend in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating oversold conditions, with a value of around 13.18, suggesting a possible reversal in the near future.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is also in negative territory, with the MACD line below the signal line and the MACD histogram showing a decreasing trend. This indicates a bearish momentum in the stock.
The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all above the current price, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Southern Financial Corporation (SFCO) seems to be in a bearish phase, with potential for a reversal in the near future. Traders and investors should closely monitor the stock for any signs of a trend reversal before making any trading decisions.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the gross profit has remained relatively stable, indicating efficient cost management.
3. The net income has also shown a positive trend, growing from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
4. Earnings per share (EPS) have slightly fluctuated but have generally increased over the years, showing positive growth.
5. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational performance.
6. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be on an upward trajectory, with increasing revenues and profits over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally show an increasing trend.
3. Non-current assets have also been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to total assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing over the years.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. The company has been investing in non-current assets such as machinery, furniture, equipment, and investments.
8. The company has been maintaining a healthy cash position and short-term investments.
9. The accumulated depreciation has been increasing, indicating the aging of assets.
10. Overall, the company's financial position seems stable and shows signs of growth and effective management.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as revenue, EBITDA, and net income.
Moving on to stock statistics, key metrics include short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and percentages held by insiders and institutions. The company's stock price summary provides information on beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.
Valuation metrics show ratios such as PEG ratio, PE ratios, price to book, price to sales, and enterprise value multiples. The market capitalization is also provided.
Lastly, dividends and splits data include payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend yields, and dividend rates. The company has a history of dividends and splits, with both forward and trailing dividend yields mentioned.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, which is higher than the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, as provided by 26 analysts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 from the previous year. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.
3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, an increase from the previous year's EPS of $6.13. The low estimate is $6.43, while the high estimate is $6.92, as projected by 39 analysts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range of estimates between $6.40 and $7.90. This is compared to the EPS of $6.59 for the previous fiscal year, based on forecasts from 39 analysts.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the next few periods.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It is important to note that these are analyst estimates and actual performance may vary.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.
MACD of SFCO
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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