Analysis Southern First Bancshares Inc (SFST)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Southern First Bancshares Inc (SFST)
Southern First Bancshares Inc (SFST) is showing a bullish trend based on the recent price movements and technical indicators:1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been increasing steadily over the past few days, closing at $33.99, with a high of $34.20 and a low of $33.69. This indicates positive momentum in the stock.
2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: The RSI indicator is at 75.49, which is in the overbought territory. This suggests that the stock may be due for a pullback or consolidation in the short term.
3. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)**: The MACD line is above the signal line, with a positive MACD histogram. This indicates a bullish signal for the stock.
4. **Moving Averages (MA)**: The stock price is above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA). This also supports the bullish trend.
Overall, based on the price movements and technical indicators, Southern First Bancshares Inc (SFST) appears to be in a strong bullish trend. However, investors should be cautious of the overbought RSI levels and consider potential pullbacks in the short term.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%
2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.53
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 99,287,450
- Average 10-Day Volume: 46,860,048
- Average 90-Day Volume: 57,498,254
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.589%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.65%
3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.319502
- Forward PE: 26.319502
- Trailing PE: 29.59409
- Enterprise Value: $2,950,762,332,160
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.3405
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.646095
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.763
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.732
- Market Capitalization: $2,917,925,650,432
4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-Day Moving Average: $176.2646
- 200-Day Moving Average: $181.0429
- 52-Week Low: $164.08
- 52-Week High: $199.62
- 52-Week Change: 6.853%
5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5255%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5097%
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the gross profit has generally followed the trend of increasing sales revenue.
3. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
4. Net income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years, with slight fluctuations but no significant downward trends.
6. The company has managed its operating expenses effectively, with operating income consistently growing over the years.
7. The company has been able to generate positive non-operating interest income, contributing to its overall profitability.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and shows a growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally show an increasing trend.
3. Non-current assets have also been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to total assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing over the years.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets like investments and advances, machinery, furniture, and equipment.
7. There is a significant amount of cash and cash equivalents in the current assets.
8. Long-term debt is a major component of non-current liabilities.
9. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, contributing to the growth in shareholders' equity.
10. The company seems to be in a stable financial position with a healthy balance between assets, liabilities, and equity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities have a significant impact on the company's cash position, with large amounts being used for common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
4. Investing activities show a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow impact each year.
5. Interest paid and income tax paid have also varied over the years, affecting the company's overall cash flow position.
6. The end cash position has fluctuated, but the company has maintained a positive cash balance throughout the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a significant decrease in growth rate compared to the past 5 years but still a healthy growth rate expected for the upcoming periods.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.MACD of SFST
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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