Analysis SPDR Gold Trust (0KZF)
5/28/2024
Analysis of SPDR Gold Trust (0KZF)
The SPDR Gold Trust (0KZF) has been showing some interesting price movements recently.On the most recent trading day, the price closed at 188.99, slightly higher than the opening price of 188.23. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating an oversold condition at 23.33, suggesting a potential reversal in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is negative at -2.71, with the signal line at 0.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD histogram is also negative at -3.52, further supporting the bearish sentiment.
Looking at the moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 214.92, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 212.96, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 214.36. The current price is below all three moving averages, indicating a bearish trend.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, the SPDR Gold Trust (0KZF) appears to be in a bearish phase. Traders and investors may want to exercise caution and wait for further confirmation before making any trading decisions.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates are increasing, indicating potential growth in the company's profitability.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still projected to be positive.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, indicating that there is potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company. Here is a summary of the key data points:1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow (TTM) is $110.56 billion, and levered free cash flow (TTM) is $84.73 billion.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash (MRQ) is $67.15 billion, total debt (MRQ) is $104.59 billion, current ratio (MRQ) is 1.037, book value per share (MRQ) is $4.837, total cash per share (MRQ) is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio (MRQ) is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.31%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131.39 billion, revenue (TTM) is $381.62 billion, diluted EPS (TTM) is $6.44, gross profit (TTM) is $169.15 billion, revenue per share (TTM) is $24.537, net income to common (TTM) is $100.39 billion, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.74%
- Return on Assets (TTM): 22.07%
- Return on Equity (TTM): 147.25%
2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66
- Float Shares: 15.31 billion
- Shares Short: 94.31 million
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52.90 million
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62.82 million
- Shares Outstanding: 15.33 billion
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.55%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%
3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.21
- Forward P/E: 26.21
- Trailing P/E: 29.43
- Enterprise Value: $2.95 trillion
- Price to Book (MRQ): 39.18
- Price to Sales (TTM): 7.62
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.75
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.73
- Market Capitalization: $2.91 trillion
4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.69
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.79
- 52-Week Low: $164.08
- 52-Week High: $199.62
- 52-Week Change: 8.25%
5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.53%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.51%
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable pricing and cost management.
3. Operating income has also shown a positive trend, reflecting efficient operational performance.
4. Net income has been growing, suggesting effective management of expenses and taxes.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have generally increased, indicating growth in profitability on a per-share basis.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, showing strong operational efficiency.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be improving year over year.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $290,437,000,000 in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in different areas that may require further analysis.
MACD of 0KZF
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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