Analysis Spectrum Group International Inc. (SPGZ)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Spectrum Group International Inc. (SPGZ)
Spectrum Group International Inc. (SPGZ) has shown a consistent uptrend in its stock price over the past few days, with the price closing at $21,500 for several consecutive days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 100, indicating that the stock may be overbought.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is showing positive values, but the MACD histogram has been decreasing slightly, which could suggest a potential weakening of the uptrend.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are both above the current price, indicating a bullish trend. However, the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is slightly below the current price.
Overall, while the stock has been performing well recently, investors should be cautious of a possible correction due to the overbought RSI and the slight decrease in the MACD histogram. It would be advisable to monitor the stock closely for any signs of a reversal in the trend.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a growth trajectory from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing a trend of improvement and growth in the upcoming quarters and years.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a projected growth rate of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates has increased to 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth rate of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in the upcoming quarters and years, with a slightly increasing number of analysts providing forecasts.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to have a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to have an average annual growth rate of approximately 9.7%.
- However, in the past 5 years, the company had a higher average annual growth rate of about 20.1%.
Overall, it seems that the company is expected to maintain a steady growth rate in the upcoming periods, with a slightly higher growth rate projected for the next 5 years compared to the current and previous periods.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a fluctuation between the fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics indicate a high price-to-book ratio and price-to-sales ratio, with a relatively high forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial.
Lastly, dividends and splits information reveal details about dividend rates, payout ratios, and historical split factors. The company has a consistent dividend yield and a history of stock splits.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential decrease in profit margins.
3. The company's gross profit has fluctuated but generally increased from $105 billion in 2020 to $169.1 billion in 2023.
4. Operating income has shown a similar trend to gross profit, increasing from $66.3 billion in 2020 to $114.3 billion in 2023.
5. Net income has also been on the rise, growing from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares, which is important for investors.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and income has been positive and improving over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate slightly each year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
Overall, the company's assets and liabilities have been increasing over the years, with fluctuations in shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.
MACD of SPGZ
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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