Analysis STADIER RAIL AG (SRAIF)
5/27/2024
Analysis of STADIER RAIL AG (SRAIF)
Stadier Rail AG (SRAIF) has been trading at a consistent price of 28.00 for the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is quite low at 12.89, indicating an oversold condition. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a negative trend, with the indicator below the signal line and a decreasing histogram.The Moving Average (MA) indicator is also on a downward trend, with the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) all showing a decline.
Overall, based on the current indicators, it seems that Stadier Rail AG may be in a bearish phase with potential for further downside. Traders and investors should closely monitor the RSI, MACD, and moving averages for any signs of a reversal in the trend.
Earnings
The company's results for the quarter ending April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending February 27, 2025, are available through the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending October 31, 2024, have not been provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending August 1, 2024, showed an EPS estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day volume is 62.82 million shares. The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, a 50-day moving average of $173.69, and a 200-day moving average of $180.79.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, trailing PE of 29.43, and a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion. The stock has an enterprise value of $2.95 trillion, price to book ratio of 39.18, price to sales ratio of 7.62, enterprise to EBITDA ratio of 22.75, and enterprise to revenue ratio of 7.73.
Lastly, dividends and splits information indicate a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend dates, split dates, and dividend yields are also provided.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with a peak in 2020 at $104.9 billion and a slight decrease in 2023 to $169.1 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight variation but have generally been stable over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with a slight increase from $81 billion in 2020 to $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite fluctuations in certain expenses and income components, the overall financial performance of the company seems to be on an upward trajectory.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuuance.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but generally, the company has maintained a healthy cash balance.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been paying dividends consistently, with varying amounts each year.
9. The company has engaged in acquisitions and divestitures, impacting the investing cash flow.
10. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of stable operational performance, strategic financial decisions, and market-driven fluctuations.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. This indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the past performance. However, the company is still projected to experience double-digit growth over the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164 and the high end at $250. The median and average forecasts are $200 and $202.26 respectively. The current price of the security is $191.57.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and accounts receivable, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations over the years.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, which have been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with a significant rise from 2022 to 2023.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt and accounts payable, with a noticeable increase in 2023.
6. Non-current liabilities consist of long-term debt and other non-current liabilities, showing a consistent increase.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally been on an upward trend, reaching $107,147,000,000 in 2018.
MACD of SRAIF
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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