Analysis Stepan Co (SCL)
6/5/2024
Analysis of Stepan Co (SCL)
Stepan Co (SCL) has been showing some fluctuations in its stock prices recently. Looking at the RSI indicator, it seems to be hovering around the 50 mark, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.The MACD indicator is positive, suggesting a bullish trend, with the MACD line above the signal line and a positive MACD histogram. This could indicate a potential upward momentum in the stock price.
In terms of moving averages, the stock price is currently above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA). This could suggest a positive trend in the short term.
Overall, based on the indicators, there seems to be a potential for a bullish trend in Stepan Co's stock price in the near future. However, it's always important to consider other factors and conduct further analysis before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion and total debt of $104.59 billion, resulting in a current ratio of 1.037. The company's book value per share is $4.837, total cash per share is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.In terms of profitability, the company has a profit margin of 26.31% and an operating margin of 30.74%. The return on assets is 22.07% and the return on equity is 147.25%. The company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023, with the most recent quarter ending on March 31, 2024.
From the income statement, we see that the company has an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and net income to common of $100.39 billion. The diluted EPS is $6.43, gross profit is $169.14 billion, revenue per share is $24.54, and there has been a decline in quarterly revenue and earnings growth year over year.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock has an average 10-day volume of 46.86 million and an average 90-day volume of 57.50 million. Insiders hold 5.22% of shares, while institutions hold 57.59%, with a short percent of shares outstanding at 0.65%.
In terms of valuation metrics, the company has a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34, price to sales ratio of 7.65, enterprise to EBITDA ratio of 22.76, and enterprise to revenue ratio of 7.73. The market capitalization stands at $2.92 trillion.
The stock price summary shows a beta of 1.26, with a 50-day moving average of $176.26 and a 200-day moving average of $181.04. The 52-week low and high are $164.08 and $199.62 respectively, with a 52-week change of 6.85%.
Lastly, in terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of $1, resulting in a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%, with a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97 and trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%. The dividend date is set for May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has increased over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased from $3.28 in 2020 to $6.16 in 2023.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to grow its net income continuously.
8. The company has been able to control its operating expenses effectively, allowing for growth in operating income.
9. Non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable over the years.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained constant, indicating no significant dilution of shares.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,755,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $302,083,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been taking on more debt over the years, as indicated by the increasing trend in total liabilities.
8. Shareholders' equity has not been growing at the same pace as total assets, indicating a potential decrease in the company's financial health over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. The company has been paying dividends consistently over the years.
8. Stock-based compensation has also been a significant expense for the company.
These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance, cash management, and investment activities over the years.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.23
- Low Estimate: $1.18
- High Estimate: $1.26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.17
- Number of Analysts: 27
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.42
- Low Estimate: $1.33
- High Estimate: $1.51
- Year Ago EPS: $1.35
- Number of Analysts: 26
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.10
- Low Estimate: $5.95
- High Estimate: $6.41
- Year Ago EPS: $5.67
- Number of Analysts: 40
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $6.69
- Low Estimate: $5.92
- High Estimate: $7.31
- Year Ago EPS: $6.10
- Number of Analysts: 40
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share both quarterly and annually, with an increase projected for the upcoming periods compared to the previous year. This indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' forecasts.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past but is expected to see a slightly lower growth rate in the coming years, although still at a healthy level. It's important to note that these are analyst estimates and actual performance may vary.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end being $164, the high end being $275, and the average forecast at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
MACD of SCL
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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