Analysis Subaru Co., Ltd. (9778)
5/31/2024
Analysis of Subaru Co., Ltd. (9778)
Subaru Co., Ltd. is showing a positive trend based on the recent data. The closing prices have been relatively stable around 7160.00, with slight fluctuations in the price range. The RSI indicator is showing values above 70, indicating overbought conditions, but the MACD indicator is showing positive values, suggesting a bullish trend.The Moving Average indicators (SMA, EMA, WMA) are all showing an upward trend, indicating that the stock price is increasing over time. This aligns with the positive MACD indicator and suggests that the stock may continue to rise in the near future.
Overall, based on the current indicators, Subaru Co., Ltd. seems to be in a bullish phase with potential for further growth. However, investors should continue to monitor the indicators for any changes in the trend.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates show an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the past performance. However, the company is still projected to maintain a double-digit growth rate over the next 5 years according to analysts' consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that some analysts may expect the price to increase in the future.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided on time. However, on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average trading volume is around 46.86 million shares for the last 10 days and 57.50 million shares for the last 90 days. The stock is held by insiders at 5.22% and institutions at 57.59%, with a short percent of shares outstanding at 0.65%.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The enterprise is valued at 22.76 times EBITDA and 7.73 times revenue, with a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, a 52-week low of $164.08, high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 6.85%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information indicate a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend dates, split dates, and dividend yields are also provided.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been increasing, indicating that the company is facing higher production costs.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating that the company has been able to maintain its profitability despite the increase in costs.
4. The operating income has also shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. The net income has been increasing over the years, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
6. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the stable operating income margin.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenues shows a positive growth trend over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the data provided:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value recorded in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value of $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value of $290,437,000,000 in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations over the years, with the highest value of $107,147,000,000 in 2018.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company's debt levels have been fluctuating, with both short-term and long-term debts varying from year to year.
8. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, indicating profitability, except for a negative value in 2023.
9. The company has been investing in machinery, furniture, and equipment, as seen in the increasing values of these assets over the years.
10. Overall, the company's financial position seems stable, with fluctuations in certain areas that may require further analysis.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities seem to be dynamic, with strategic decisions impacting its cash flow position.
MACD of 9778
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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