Analysis Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (SNCY)
5/29/2024
Analysis of Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (SNCY)
Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (SNCY) has been experiencing a downward trend in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been consistently low, indicating an oversold condition. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is also showing negative values, suggesting a bearish momentum in the stock.The stock has been trading below its Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market. The stock prices have been closing lower than the opening prices, reflecting a lack of buying interest.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. seems to be in a bearish phase. Investors may want to exercise caution and closely monitor the stock's performance before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at this time. The results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%
2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 94,308,265
- Average 10 Volume: 52,903,608
- Average 90 Volume: 62,823,269
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%
3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213001
- Forward PE: 26.213001
- Trailing PE: 29.428572
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.181313
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.6151557
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672
4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.6936
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.7906
- 52-Week Low: $164.08
- 52-Week High: $199.62
- 52-Week Change: 8.253%
5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5266761603816345%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5108758755701854%
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a general trend of increasing revenue over the years.
- The highest revenue was recorded in FY 2022.
These trends can provide insights into the company's performance and market conditions during these fiscal years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and accounts receivable, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations over the years.
3. Non-current assets consist of investments, machinery, furniture, and equipment, which have been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt and accounts payable, with fluctuations in deferred revenue.
6. Non-current liabilities consist of long-term debt and other non-current liabilities.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, reaching $107,147,000,000 in 2018.
8. Common stock and retained earnings are the major components of shareholders' equity.
9. The company has been investing in leases, land, improvements, and other non-current assets to support its operations and growth.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities have a significant impact on the company's cash position, with large amounts being used for common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
4. Investing activities show a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow impact each year.
5. Interest paid and income tax paid figures provide insights into the company's financial obligations and profitability trends over the years.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, reflecting the company's cash management strategies and financial performance.
Earnings estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This indicates an increase compared to the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This suggests an increase compared to the EPS of $6.59 from the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth in both the quarterly and annual periods.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, the following conclusions can be drawn:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience double-digit growth over the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below both the average and median forecasted prices.
MACD of SNCY
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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