Analysis Sunrun Inc (RUN)
6/2/2024
Analysis of Sunrun Inc (RUN)
Sunrun Inc (RUN) has shown a consistent uptrend in the past few days, with the price closing at $14.46 on May 31st. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating overbought conditions at 66.99, suggesting a possible reversal or consolidation in the near future.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive at 0.71, with the MACD line above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum. The MACD histogram is also positive at 0.27, supporting the bullish outlook.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing an upward trend, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Sunrun Inc appears to be in a bullish phase, but traders should be cautious of a possible pullback due to the overbought RSI levels.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS), we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This represents an increase from the EPS of $1.17 reported a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is higher than the EPS of $1.35 reported in the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This shows growth from the EPS of $5.67 reported in the previous fiscal year.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This is an increase from the EPS of $6.10 expected for the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts are forecasting growth in earnings per share both in the short term and the long term, indicating positive expectations for the company's financial performance.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating good financial performance. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 31, 2024. The company shows a solid return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows a beta value, moving averages, and the 52-week low and high prices.
Valuation metrics reveal the company's PEG ratio, PE ratios, enterprise value, price to book, price to sales, and other key financial ratios. The market capitalization is also provided.
Lastly, dividends and splits information includes details on payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend rates, and dividend yields.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000
From these numbers, we can observe that the company has experienced a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023. This trend indicates a generally positive growth trajectory for the company over the past few years.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate increases to $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate for total sales is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate further rises to $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in the upcoming quarters and years, with a slightly increasing number of analysts providing forecasts.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 9.7%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.1%
It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly strong growth rate projected for the next year. The consistent growth rates for the next quarter and current quarter suggest stability in the short term. The next 5 years also show a positive outlook for the company's growth trajectory.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median estimate of $201.43 and an average estimate of $204.58. However, it's worth noting that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $275. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below both the median and average forecasted prices.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. Total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, improvements, and machinery, furniture, equipment over the years.
9. Retained earnings have been negative in some years, indicating losses or dividend payouts exceeding profits.
10. The company has been managing its cash and cash equivalents effectively, with fluctuations in other current assets.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in key financial metrics over the years.
MACD of RUN
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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