Analysis Svenska Cellulosa AB (SCABY)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Svenska Cellulosa AB (SCABY)
Svenska Cellulosa AB (SCABY) has been showing some interesting price movements recently. The stock closed at 13.135 on the most recent trading day, with an RSI indicator of 35.47, indicating a slightly oversold condition. The MACD indicator is close to zero, suggesting a potential trend reversal.Looking at the moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 13.799, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 14.100, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 13.913. The current price is below the SMAs, indicating a bearish trend.
On May 30th, the stock closed at 14.975, with an RSI of 73.82, showing overbought conditions. The MACD indicator is positive, with the MACD line above the signal line, indicating a bullish trend.
Overall, Svenska Cellulosa AB seems to be experiencing some volatility, with potential signals of both bullish and bearish trends. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the price movements and key indicators before making any trading decisions.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both healthy, and the company shows good returns on assets and equity. The fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as EBITDA, revenue, diluted EPS, and net income.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and other relevant metrics that indicate its market performance and investor interest. The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.
Valuation metrics show various ratios such as PEG ratio, PE ratios, enterprise value, price to book, price to sales, and others that help in evaluating the company's valuation in the market.
Lastly, dividends and splits information includes details about dividend rates, payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, and dividend yields, providing insights into the company's dividend distribution and history.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000
From the data provided, we can observe the following trends:
1. The company experienced a significant increase in revenue from 2020 to 2021, followed by a slight decrease in 2023 compared to 2022.
2. Despite the slight decrease in 2023, the revenue figures remain relatively high compared to the base year of 2020.
3. Overall, the company has shown growth in revenue over the past four years, with fluctuations in certain years.
These trends indicate that the company has been able to generate consistent revenue growth over the years, with some fluctuations in between.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value of $162,819,000,000 in 2019.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value of $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value of $107,147,000,000 in 2018.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its growth, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been financing its operations and growth through a combination of liabilities and shareholders' equity, with both showing an increasing trend over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%
We can see that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly strong growth rate projected for the next year. The consistent growth rates for the next quarter and current quarter suggest stability in the short term. The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is expected to be in line with the growth rate for the next year.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.MACD of SCABY
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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